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Selon les projections de la Sofres, la droite occuperait de 405 à 445 des 577 sièges de l'hémicycle, le PS disposerait de 100 à 140 sièges, le PCF de 6 à 12, et les Verts de 1 à 3.


360-420 UMP (right)
21-24 NC (center-right)
1-4 Modem (center)
0-3 Green
120-170 PS (left)
6-12 communist

by Laurent GUERBY on Mon Jun 11th, 2007 at 02:22:53 AM EST
treated as a separate party from 'UMP & allies'? They are nothing but.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Mon Jun 11th, 2007 at 04:02:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's all formal :)
by Laurent GUERBY on Mon Jun 11th, 2007 at 06:49:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
So we can clearly see how Bayrou gets punished for daring to leave the fold?
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Mon Jun 11th, 2007 at 07:22:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What I miss online are the pocket descriptions of each seat you (used to?) get with the printed edition of le Monde. These would tell you that so and so who was running as 'div droit' for example was really a mainline Gaullist who personally detested the offical Gaullist so the transfer of votes in the second  round to the leading Gaullist was not assured as far as offical advice went, though most dissident rightists would probably do so except that the second placed Socialist candidate was a well-known local cycling hero and as Mayor of the main town was a great bringer-in of Pork though if he could be persuaded to stand down in favour of the third-placed Radical who had substantially passed the ballotage limit the radical might well stand a better chance and perhaps a deal might be made with the neighbouring seat where the radicals had just scraped in ... having the bare figures is much less fun. No doubt some Bloggers somewhere are filling in this gap...
by saugatojas on Mon Jun 11th, 2007 at 11:46:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Partly the problem is that there are very few such circumscriptions at this point. The UMP has instilled party discipline on the right, for the most part, and the low turnout means that there are very few triangular (and no quadrangular) run-offs (a candidate is required to gain 12.5% of the registered voters in the district to qualify, which means with 40% abstention, almost 20% of the votes cast).
by desmoulins (gsb6@lycos.com) on Tue Jun 12th, 2007 at 01:39:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]


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