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CSA gives about 39% non-voting.

Liberation estimates:

http://www.liberation.fr/actualite/politiques/legislative/260300.FR.php


Taux de vote
Extr. Gauche:  3,3%. PC:  4,5%. PS:  27,2%. Divers Gauche: 1,1%. Verts:  2,8%. Modem:  7,4%. Nouveau Centre:  1,8%. UMP & alliés:  41,3%. Divers Droite:  3,3%. FN:  4,2%. CPNT: 0,9%. Régionalistes: 0,2%. Autres:  2%

Projection en sièges à l'Assemblée nationale
PC: entre 9 et 15 sièges. PS et alliés: entre 60 et 90 sièges. Verts: entre 0 et 2 sièges. Modem: entre 0 et 2 sièges. Nouveau Centre: entre 20 et 25 sièges. UMP & alliés: entre 440 et 470 sièges. Divers Droite dont MPF: entre 2 et 6 sièges. Les autres partis recueilleraient 0 sièges.

by Laurent GUERBY on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 02:44:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Ouch.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 03:11:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
So 43:28 in vote percentage translates to 455:75 in seats?

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 03:59:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well it's anything but proportional...

http://www.lemonde.fr/web/depeches/0,14-0,39-31228494@7-37,0.html


Selon Ipsos-Dell, la droite recueille 45,8% (383-447 sièges), la gauche 35,7% (126-185 sièges), le MoDem 7,3% (entre un et quatre sièges), l'extrême droite 5%.
by Laurent GUERBY on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 04:33:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]
the effect of first-past-the-post?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 05:48:42 PM EST
[ Parent ]


In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 05:47:46 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Thanks for the democratic senate, which has 60 leftwing members, the constitutions will still have to be respected...

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Sun Jun 10th, 2007 at 08:49:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
How does the senate work and how is it (s)elected?

Can the last politician to go out the revolving door please turn the lights off?
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 11th, 2007 at 06:09:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Senate is elected by "grand electeurs", that means mayors and other elected people (150 000) and it means more or less a land based representation.

Fifth republic senate has always been on the right. They can block new laws, and they do so for foreigner vote for example.

Details here:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Senate_of_France

by Laurent GUERBY on Mon Jun 11th, 2007 at 06:49:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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