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Les socialistes français semblent limiter l'ampleur de la «vague bleue» UMP au second tour des législatives françaises de dimanche.

Dimanche 17 juin 2007 19:15
LeTemps.ch

Selon l'institut de sondages CSA, le Parti socialiste (PS) obtiendrait 224 des 577 sièges de l'Assemblée nationale à l'occasion du deuxième tour des élections législatives du 17 juin. S'il se confirmait, ce score serait supérieur aux pronotics avancés à l'issue du premier tour (entre 69-149 sièges).

Toujours selon nos toutes premières estimations, l'UMP obtiendrait 309 sièges, le MoDem de François Bayrou 2 sièges, le Parti communiste 12, les Verts 4, le Mouvement pour la France de Philippe de Villiers un siège et huit sièges reviendraient à des candidats «divers droite».

Selon d'autres sources, la droite obtiendrait entre 340 et 380 sièges, la gauche entre 190 et 230 sièges et 2 à 3 sièges iraient au MoDem.

by Laurent GUERBY on Sun Jun 17th, 2007 at 01:47:37 PM EST
It sounds like the TVA sociale polemic made voters realize that Sarkozy's programme wouldn't mean a free lunch for everybody. Of course, the PS couldn't get the concept across until the last week of a 6 month long election season...

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Sun Jun 17th, 2007 at 01:58:01 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Agree and agree.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun Jun 17th, 2007 at 03:40:04 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Some of the right is openly accusing Borloo of a big communication mistake.
by Laurent GUERBY on Sun Jun 17th, 2007 at 03:45:16 PM EST
[ Parent ]
They managed to stay on message thus far and needed to keep this soothing mood, at least until Sunday (with the help of a compliant media).

Things were working so well and they were so triumphant and full of themselves, at the end they couldn't help it: someone eventually spilled the beans and the spell was broken. Folks started waking up and suddenly realized the place stinks to high heaven...

They would have gotten away with it if it were not for this meddling Borloo, and also the decision to raise the minimum wage by a bare 2%: this sure was a cold shower.

by Bernard (bernard) on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 01:54:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Could you detail this mess over the TVA? (Or give a link to an ET story on it I missed?)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 03:56:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
If you read french see here:

http://obouba.over-blog.com/article-10850237.html

Short story: government mandated Eric Besson (ex PS now UMP) to study a possible raise of VAT (up to +5%) with a corresponding decrease of social cotisations on income. It was presented as a way to fight delocalisations but depending on the details it will likely be a way to lower tax progressivity.

by Laurent GUERBY on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 04:12:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And Borloo talked about it in MSM last week sparking the debate.
by Laurent GUERBY on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 04:13:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, so TVA=VAT! I couldn't figure that out...

One more thing: what is "délocalisation"/delocalisation? Outsourcing?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 05:44:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
More specifically, offshoring.

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 05:51:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Heheh.  I had the same confusion.  TVA to me means "Tennessee Valley Authority," which clearly wasn't right...

Acronyms don't often transfer well.  Once when I was wearing a t-shirt with the Washington DC baseball team's "DC" logo on it, a Chilean friend wanted to know why I was endorsing the Christian Democrats....

by the stormy present (stormypresent aaaaaaat gmail etc) on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 05:58:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]
To translate them here's a trick:

http://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/TVA

Then click or move or your mouse on the "english" on the left column.

That's what I do (in reverse) for english acronyms I don't understand :)

by Laurent GUERBY on Mon Jun 18th, 2007 at 06:36:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It's hard to get a point across when your position is reported for 15 seconds on the 3 AM Farming news summary and with 3 lines on page 24 of the newspapers.

Compared to the lead-off story on prime time news and blaring headlines: Royale - Threat or Menance?

:-<

Welcome to our world.

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Sun Jun 17th, 2007 at 03:46:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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