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A new scientific study concludes that changes in the Sun's output cannot be causing modern-day climate change. It shows that for the last 20 years, the Sun's output has declined, yet temperatures on Earth have risen. It also shows that modern temperatures are not determined by the Sun's effect on cosmic rays, as has been claimed. Writing in the Royal Society's journal Proceedings A, the researchers say cosmic rays may have affected climate in the past, but not the present. "This should settle the debate," said Mike Lockwood from the UK's Rutherford-Appleton Laboratory, who carried out the new analysis together with Claus Froehlich from the World Radiation Center in Switzerland.
It shows that for the last 20 years, the Sun's output has declined, yet temperatures on Earth have risen.
It also shows that modern temperatures are not determined by the Sun's effect on cosmic rays, as has been claimed.
Writing in the Royal Society's journal Proceedings A, the researchers say cosmic rays may have affected climate in the past, but not the present.
"This should settle the debate," said Mike Lockwood from the UK's Rutherford-Appleton Laboratory, who carried out the new analysis together with Claus Froehlich from the World Radiation Center in Switzerland.
ScienceDirect - Earth and Planetary Science Letters : Are there connections between the Earth's magnetic field and climate?
The most intriguing feature may be the recently proposed archeomagnetic jerks, i.e. fairly abrupt ( 100 yr long) geomagnetic field variations found at irregular intervals over the past few millennia, using the archeological record from Europe to the Middle East. These seem to correlate with significant climatic events in the eastern North Atlantic region. A proposed mechanism involves variations in the geometry of the geomagnetic field (f.i. tilt of the dipole to lower latitudes), resulting in enhanced cosmic-ray induced nucleation of clouds. No forcing factor, be it changes in CO2 concentration in the atmosphere or changes in cosmic ray flux modulated by solar activity and geomagnetism, or possibly other factors, can at present be neglected or shown to be the overwhelming single driver of climate change in past centuries. Intensive data acquisition is required to further probe indications that the Earth's and Sun's magnetic fields may have significant bearing on climate change at certain time scales.
:-D
As for this:
Pierre:
the magnetic field has been stable now for one of the longest periods in the history of the earth and is weakening like it did before previous inversions
Yes, it is weakening like what is seemingly happening before other inversions, but stable? The last inversion was (top of my head) some 800.000 years ago (Wikipedia check: 780.000 years). That's not particularly long, considering the 37 million years of the Cretaceous Long Normal Superchron. And during the past 780.000 years it doesn't look that stable to me...
I -think- (danger Will Robinson danger!!!) it could work like flipping a coin: every time the dynamic destabilises it has a 50% chance of actually uprighting itself again (non-reversal) or the field turns over completely. If so, in the current period the field has destabilised previously but just never reversed.
Otherwise the question becomes: loaded with what?
It could be Fox for all the use it is. Trouble is that I know a lot of journos at the BBC are climate change sceptics, they don't understand the science so they give equal weight to both sides. keep to the Fen Causeway
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