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Great post, and a strong case against the nuclear industry, but I'd like to come back on one notion you touched upon, that of cancer clusters.

Cancer clusters will happen naturally, from basic rules of randomness that simply state that any phenomenon that is caused by random factors will not happen in a neat, regular repartition but will be randomly spread out, which includes apparently unnatural clusters that are in fact statistically normal.

I do think that with onur current entitlement culture, any such cluster, once identified, will be seen as a magnet for damage seeking parasites, and they will waste no time in identifying a credibly dangerous industrial facility nearby to blame for such cluster - there will always be one, whether a power plant, chemical factory, waste treatment facility or other.

It is easy to create the apparence of causality out of purely random factors, and people will leap on it, and the media will lap it up. That does not mean, of course, that all clusters are random, of course, but this should certainly be taken into account whenever cluster do not reach uncontestable order of magnitude of unusual concentration.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2007 at 11:16:05 AM EST
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