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Quant aux biocarburants, l'OPEP sait que la substitution n'est pas possible. Ils ne représenteront jamais plus de 10 % de la consommation mondiale. Cela ne devrait pas lui donner de cauchemars.

I'm afraid OPEC has that one right.

I've tried to educate myself a bit over the past year on biomass / biofuel and I've come out of it fairly depressed.

It looks technically plausible. Some things may actually work like the thermo-chemical approach. For instance, see Range Fuels (don't lose your time on their website. It's near 100% marketing fluff).

But the business / investment / political reality looks downright awful. I just don't see how biofuel can reach the critical mass where they'll be able to resist anti-competitive actions and stand on their own.

by Francois in Paris on Wed Jul 11th, 2007 at 11:26:55 PM EST
the business / investment / political reality looks downright awful.

So does the agricultural / environmental reality.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Thu Jul 12th, 2007 at 02:32:19 AM EST
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With the current state of technology, the only useful biofuels seem to be sugar cane ethanol and forest biomass for heating. If cellulosic ethanol has a scientific breakthrough (don't count on it) this might change.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
by Starvid on Thu Jul 12th, 2007 at 03:16:54 AM EST
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