Countdown to $100 oil (42) - IEA predicts shortages within 5 years | 19 comments (19 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Meanwhile the markets shrug (4.00 / 5)

Oil prices supported by IEA forecasts
Brent crude oil futures on Monday eased slightly from their 11-month highs, hit last week, but forecasts of a global oil supply crunch ensured some support.
The International Energy Agency said on Monday that global oil demand would rise more quickly than previously forecast through to 2012, while supply would struggle to cope.
Despite the IEA's predictions oil prices fell slightly as investors took profits from last week's rise to an 11-month high.
By midday in London, Brent crude, having hit an 11-month high on Friday, fell 33 cents to $75.29 a barrel, while Nymex crude lost 49 cents to $72.32 a barrel.

Hey, $75 oil is NOT NEWS! You'll be surprised how quickly we shrug at $100 oil too...

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Mon Jul 9th, 2007 at 10:05:12 AM EST

Re: Meanwhile the markets shrug (4.00 / 2)

By the way, with the inflation by May this year (latest data), WTI crude spot prices were just above $100-CPI-corrected in April and May 1980.

_{*Lunatic*, n.

One whose delusions are out of fashion.}

by DoDo on Mon Jul 9th, 2007 at 10:39:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Meanwhile the markets shrug (4.00 / 2)

I swear that when we pass that record, someone will write that oil was still more expensive, corrected for inflation, back in 1862.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Mon Jul 9th, 2007 at 11:13:17 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Meanwhile the markets shrug (none / 0)

demand will [...] reach 95.8m barrels a day in 2012.

Right.

Problem is: where is supply gonna be?

The only way is see this happening is if everything goes smashing, all the reserves are the higher end of estimates, and Iraq starts producing bigtime.

Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.

by Starvid on Mon Jul 9th, 2007 at 11:30:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The CPI deflator is not the best one (4.00 / 2)