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For a long trip, a hybrid vehicle has no advantage in terms of oil consumption.
But this is what I think : we should give up using heat engine. They are ineffective - but very practical. That is not what is implied by a 70 g/km recommendation : I think they imagine that the cars will still be using conventional motors.
Until now, only heat engine can transform oil into movement.
There's a calculation which is seldom made : only 3% of the solar energy is converted to chemical potential energy in a plant and then 2/3 of this energy is spilled in conventional motors so that a biofuel + heat engine line has a yield of 1% (and I'm considering that no energy has been necessary to obtain biofuel).
Solar panel convert 15% of the solar energy into electricity. 1/3 is lost when using batteries. Since the yield of an electrical motor is around 90%, then 9% of the solar energy is converted into movement. Ok, a lot of energy is required to make the solar panels (4 years of their production is necessary to fabricate the next panel).
So... I don't believe in conventional motors. Nowhere except for long journeys - because of the energetic density of fuel.
http://www.arb.ca.gov/msprog/zevprog/symposium/presentations/eberhard.pdf
Other papers are fun too:
http://www.arb.ca.gov/msprog/zevprog/symposium/presentations/presentations.htm
I guess that the speaker for tesla motors wasnt fully impartial. However, the figures are striking. Even if they are overestimated by one order of magnitude, electric motors are even more interesting than what I thought.
I think he has forgotten some phenomena (electricity transport, for instance) and that he underestimates the average cost of using batteries. Anyway, this is interesting. Partial, but interesting.
Electricity transport is not that costly (around 95% efficient IIRC) and also not mandatory (eg local production).
Batteries are of course the current hot topic (cost and storage capacity per mass/volume), but some EV models have in car fuel-burning generator that generate electricity to extend range.
From wikipedia :
The nickel cadmium and nickel metal-hydride designs have efficiencies of around 66%.[43] However, modern lithium designs have almost negated this wastage as they can have efficiencies of around 99%.[44]
But are the latter batteries really available ? It may be more reasonable to assume a 66% yield instead. This is what I usually do. :) With the idea that it is possible to have a much better yield using "modern" design.
The Modec van uses Zebra batteries with charge-discharge effiency above 90% (IIRC).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modec http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zebra_battery
Even with NiMH AA batteries, 66% is near the absolute worst :).
I don't think this is correct. The heat engine (gasoline or diesel) can be made to handle the average power requirement at some speed, and the electric motor/generator is used to balance uphill and downhill grades. In a conventional car, the heat engine must be sized to handle the largest instantaneous power requirement, which is typically a steep uphill segment on a high speed road.
My wife and I drove our Honda Insight hybrid round trip from Colorado Springs to Amarillo recently (360 miles each way, 580 km) and averaged 69 miles per gallon, which is about 3,4 l/100 km or about 78 gCO2/km. We maintained, at her insistence, the speed limit (mostly 70 mph, 113 kph) and ran the air conditioning--and it was about 90 degrees (32 C).
By reducing the speed we could have achieved 70 g/km in this 1999-technology car, with no loss of comfort.
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