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I felt curious about how close ND was to majority, so I used this:

The electoral law this year provides proportional assignment of 260 seats among all parties collecting over 3% of the vote, but gives a bonus of 40 seats to the party collecting most votes nationwide.

and a rough mean of initial exit polls:
ND 41
PASOK 38
KKE 8
SYRIZA 5.5
LAOS 3.5
(adds up to 96, i.e. 4% others)

to create this seat distribution (percentage/0,96*260)

ND 111 + 40
PASOK 103
KKE 22
SYRIZA 15
LAOS 9

so it does look very even. Now I am sure the greek election system has more quirks then this (seat distribution formulas and so on), but I guess it will be an interesting night.

If ND fails to gain majority (ends at 149 or something), what is then the expected result? ND minority rule? ND+LAOS coalition? Great coalition? New elections?

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by A swedish kind of death on Sun Sep 16th, 2007 at 03:11:30 PM EST
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