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  • Gabriel and Steinbrück are both damaged goods - lost state elections as PMs before becoming ministers.

  • Gabriel is widely seen as the most ambitious of the lot. My gut feeling is if he sees as much as a shred of support in the party, he'll make a play for it.

  • Steinmeier is (or at least used to be) very close to Gerhard Schröder. He was Schröder's chief of staff, and the two go back a long way. Steinmeier's chances at the nomination might come down to a test of how much influence Schröder still has in the party.

  • Unless the party nominates somebody with cred on the left, they will get slaughtered by the Linke and the Greens. That to me suggests an advantage for Müntefering, Tiefensee, Platzeck, and Wieczorek-Zeul. My money is currently on Müntefering and Tiefensee.

  • Am I the only one here who sees a semblance between "Red Heidi" (Wieczorek-Zeul) and Ségolène Royal?


If you can't convince them, confuse them. (Harry S. Truman)
by brainwave on Sun Sep 2nd, 2007 at 09:35:41 PM EST

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