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The fact is, this is too close to being statistically insignificant. If instead of fixing the numbers to the last digit you only fix it to +- 7 votes, it drops below 95% confidence in one of the scenarios. In the other you just need to go to +- 13 votes.

The scenarios are: estimate the probabilities from the machine counts and assume the hand counts are a random sample, or vice versa.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sun Jan 13th, 2008 at 07:40:46 AM EST
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