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Many thanks for this astute analysis.  I was puzzled by Edwards' sudden rise in Nevada and didn't know what significance to ascribe to it because it didn't seem like natural territory for him.  Seems like we may see a Bradley effect x 2 here.   I.e both whites and Hispanics may swing to him to a degree not captured by the polls. At the moment he is a poor third in South Carolina but a win in Nevada could change that almost overnight.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Jan 16th, 2008 at 12:53:23 PM EST
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Nevada seems to be Edwards' natural territory because it is heavily unionized. That was until two unions endorsed Obama after Iowa. But still...

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Jan 16th, 2008 at 01:22:31 PM EST
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What % of the Nevada electorate is unionised?  I would have thought it is quite small and won't break entirely for any one candidate even with influential Union leadership endorsements.

Index of Frank's Diaries
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Jan 16th, 2008 at 01:38:23 PM EST
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