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Many thanks for this astute analysis.  I was puzzled by Edwards' sudden rise in Nevada and didn't know what significance to ascribe to it because it didn't seem like natural territory for him.  Seems like we may see a Bradley effect x 2 here.   I.e both whites and Hispanics may swing to him to a degree not captured by the polls. At the moment he is a poor third in South Carolina but a win in Nevada could change that almost overnight.

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by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Jan 16th, 2008 at 12:53:23 PM EST
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