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We seem to have reached the position that there are only two significant Democratic candidates left.

There seems to be wide agreement on Daily Kos that one is the messiah and the other the anti-christ, but not as to who is playing which part. There is also a current of opinion which sees both Clinton and Obama as "corporate shills" and would rather not vote or vote for McCain or Bloomberg (Mayor of New York and potential third party candidate - Democrat turned Republican turned Independent).

The only former New York Mayor who got as far as the general election for President, was DeWitt Clinton (presumably no relation as neither President or Senator Clinton was actually born a Clinton) in 1812. Clinton ran as an Independent Republican with Federalist support, on a platform of opposing Mr Madison's war (known to the British as the War of 1812). He lost.

I would think the Clinton machine will probably come out ahead on Super Tuesday, but it may well take a bit longer for the nomination to be sewn up.

The Republicans seem to be down to two and a half significant candidates. Huckabee seems likely to accumulate a few more delegates, but not to do so well as to gain the nomination. On the basis that the key to US politics is usually follow the money, Romney seems best placed to defeat McCain and then lose to Senator Clinton.  

by Gary J on Wed Jan 30th, 2008 at 10:52:36 AM EST

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