Super Tuesday looms: Who is really going to win the Presidency? (Part 5) | 75 comments (75 topical, editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: Super Tuesday looms: Who is really going to wi (4.00 / 3)

I'm a litle surprised to find Obama leading in California by three points ("leading" within the MoE) and tied in Connecticut, post-South Carolina.

According to exit polls last night, 50% of Florida Dems thought the Kennedy endorsement was important. And usually those affirmatives on endorsements are thought to be understatements, since few want to openly say "Yeah, his endorsement mattered."

I don't know what it is about Boomers and the Kennedys (can anyone explain it to me?), but maybe Ol' Teddy carries more weight than I thought. And he hasn't even begun campaigning yet.

I'd certainly agree with TBG that it's going to be close, but I'm curious to see what the effect of JRE getting out will be. (I'd still like to know why he's getting out, too.)

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Wed Jan 30th, 2008 at 12:47:47 PM EST

Re: Super Tuesday looms: Who is really going to wi (none / 1)

Real Clear Politics still has Clinton with a 12% lead.

Ted Kennedy has always been big in Ireland, but then so is Bill Clinton. His endorsement of Obama is important, in my view, because it shows that even the very old guard of the Dem establishment is warming to Obama. Ted Kennedy was a big supporter of Bill, so switching to Obama now is a big blow for her, particularly in terms of influencing Super delegates. Whether Ted Kennedy still has much clout with the average dem voter I really don't know. But Obama has been campaigning heavily on camelot style hope and aspiration and Ted's endorsement effectively legitimises that - unlike Dan Quale who was ridiculed for trying to act like Jack Kennedy - "I knew Jack Kennedy, and you're no Jack Kennedy..."

See Barack Obama, Camelot's New Knight - washingtonpost.com

Barack Obama, Camelot's New Knight

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Jan 30th, 2008 at 01:23:49 PM EST
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Super Tuesday looms: Who is really going to win the Presidency? (Part 5) | 75 comments (75 topical, 0 editorial, 0 hidden)

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