I looked at four different things with these candidates

• Their campaign rhetoric
  
• Their foreign policy staff
  
• Their style
  
• Their record

Based on the overall picture, I do think that Hillary Clinton's position is her natural position. With John Kerry in '04 it seemed obvious that his hawkishness was just a matter of positioning, not so with Clinton. It matches with her style, it matches with her overall record.

But maybe she's just a better actress.

You're right that we don't really know right now what these candidates will do in face of circumstances and Melanchton is absolutely right in saying that a lot depends on how large the Democratic majority in Congress will be.

But to some extent, we don't have the luxury to take that position ('we' on Eurotrib do, the people in power in Europe, don't). I'd vastly prefer it if we didn't take a sit and wait attitude to what a Democratic President will do, because we'll accomplish a lot less.

It would be irresponsible not to speculate ;-)