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Well.

No.  ;-)

After the 2000 and 2002 elections the GOP controlled most of the state legislatures and had control of establishing the Congressional districts boundaries.  The leaders of the GOP under the direction of Karl Rove - a GOP political operative & a real slime ball - got involved in the process and had those boundaries drawn, based on past election results, to maximize the GOP representative: gerrymandering  is what it is called in the US.  One thing that the GOP had to do was to dilute their own vote across several districts, taking a 9% lead to a 3% lead, say.

Manipulating the vote by careful map making is fine when the voters turnout by historic patterns, a disaster when it doesn't.  Either an exceptional turnout by the Dems or/and a fall in GOP vote (or both,) relative to historic pattern.  If this happens, the GOP is facing a loss of multiple Congressional seats in a cascade affect.  

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 12:04:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yep - gerrymandering can backfire big time and exacerbate losses (especially if done to extremes). If the boundaries were drawn to maximise seats by building in (say) 5% majorities (based on historic trends) - this will result in a lot of seats flipping if the vote swings more than an average of 5%.  It also reduces the number of "safe" seats dramatically as their historic majorities are distributed to neighbouring marginal seats.

Vote McCain for war without gain
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Oct 15th, 2008 at 12:21:58 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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