Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Yep - the national trend actually tightened a bit from a 7.9 to 5.9 Obama lead on Pollster.com but this includes some slightly dodgy polls - and also on RCP (but he excludes any polls like research2000/DKOS which tend to favour Obama).  

However the news at state level has all been good for Obama with even W. Virginia swinging his way.  Only Indiana and Georgia, of the winnable states, are still holding out.  Montana may yet become marginal as well.  Obama'a ground game may still win it in Indiana.  Tracking polls have yet to fully reflect Obama's debate performance and the economy is still tanking - so even if Obama flatlines at this level it becomes an inevitability as election day approaches.

McCain is doing great in Texas, Alaska, Alabama, Idaho, Arkansas, Utah etc.where it matters not a damn and where probably people aren't even paying attention because there are no ads, no organisations, and no local campaign events.

McCain seems to be getting increasingly desperate and Obama has some good ad material with Video clips of "that guy" "kill him" and the crazy attempt to link him to Vietnam era terrorism. Palin's far right allusions raise the spectre of race war all over again and moderate independents just don't want to go there.

McCain's proposal to buy up/renegotiate bad mortgages seems to have disconcerted his own base more than anything and allowed Obama to portray him as flaky (even though Obama may end up doing something similar).

Cheney's plan to nuke Iran this fall seems to have become unstuck when the Air force refused to cooperate, so I'm not sure what options the GOP have left to try and avert a blow-out.

Vote McCain for war without gain

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Thu Oct 9th, 2008 at 10:02:22 PM EST
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