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Given the speciality of the dollar's course vs. the Euro, and Japan's aspiration for the Yen to follow the dollar, I'm not sure much can be derived from this graph.



*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 08:33:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]
My take would be that Sterling has performed similarly against other major currencies with the exception of the Euro from 1999 to 2003 when it significantly over performed against the Euro.  Perhaps this reflects anglo scepticism about the prospects for the Euro in its early days - and as Mig says - particularly during the period prior to its formal introduction (Jan 2002) as the cash currency for all participating members.  Perhaps its a case of the Euro gradually gaining credibility and traction such thet 90% of UK trade is now transacted in Euros.

Euro - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

After the introduction of the euro, its exchange rate against other currencies fell heavily, especially against the U.S. dollar. From an introduction at US$1.18/€, the euro fell to a low of $0.8228/€ by 26 October 2000. After the appearance of the coins and notes in 1 January 2002 and the replacement of all national currencies, the euro then began steadily appreciating, and soon regained parity with the U.S. dollar, on 15 July 2002. Since December 2002, the euro has not again fallen below parity with the U.S. dollar but instead began an ascendency. On 23 May 2003, the euro surpassed its initial ($1.18) trading value for the first time. At the end of 2004, it reached $1.3668 (€0.7316/$) as the U.S. dollar fell against all major currencies. Against the U.S. dollar, the euro temporarily weakened in 2005, falling to $1.18 (€0.85/$) in July 2005, and was stable throughout the third quarter of 2005. In November 2005 the euro again began to rise steadily against the U.S. dollar, hitting one record high after another. On 15 July 2008, the euro rose to an all-time high of $1.5990 (€0.6254/$). In a reversal, in August of 2008 the euro began to drop against the U.S. dollar. In just two weeks the euro fell from its peak to $1.48 and by late October it reached a two and a half year low below $1.25.[59] On 12 December 2008, the pound sterling fell to an all-time low of £0.89235 (€1.1206/£) against the euro.[60]


notes from no w here
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 09:35:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
once it becomes that rumania has a better chance of feeding its own population, i expect the £ will find its 'true value'.

the usa might be about to get re-aquainted with the joys of manual labour to a barely imaginable degree, but at least they have enough land to feed themselves.

the english are a few beers, and a few more factories closing, away from mob rule.

and what a charming mob!

anglo disease has consequences, and chickens have a way...

prediction: the next monarch will take the electric bus with the rest of the folks while going to work on the community farm.

charles has done his homework, i wish you could say that about more brits, toffs or not.

 

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 10:09:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
But will Charles be a sustainable King?

notes from no w here
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 05:21:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
lol

good question

i can only say that if the monarchy has any sustainability going forward, it will thrive better under chucky than it will in its present constipated form.

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 10:43:05 PM EST
[ Parent ]
If I had to take a stab, I'd call that a sharp devaluation of the £ around '93, followed by a more or less steady climb (with a peak around '97-'99 - what happened there?) until the present crash, overlaid by a period from '99 through '03 where the € was undervalued.

This is certainly compatible with Jerome's diagnosis, and with Migeru's ideas about the relative weakness of the € around the time of its introduction.

The German reunification, OTOH, does not strike me as overwhelmingly obvious in that figure.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 01:44:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]
(with a peak around '97-'99 - what happened there?)

As per upthread: the re-start of the housing boom; and also London having its part in the dotcom boom (but even London was left on the sidelines by Wall Street by 1999); both of which meant a flood of foreign capital.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 01:54:37 PM EST
[ Parent ]
OK, it sounds like we are starting to have a cute story... I'm not sure I want to get carried away yet, but it's definitely a cute story.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 03:47:00 PM EST
[ Parent ]
The German reunification, OTOH, does not strike me as overwhelmingly obvious in that figure.

Indeed the DEM never had it so good as in the first few years after Reunification. Reunification might still have a effect if investors 'realised' the economic problems around it with delay. Redstar however will surely point blame at Bundesbank policy in those years.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Mon Dec 15th, 2008 at 01:57:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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