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The FDP is now under the mark (4.8% in ARD's 20:30 prediction).

Not an altogether bad result if the FDP really fails to get in. I predict a grand coalition. As the senate tilts heavily towards the left, the SPD should be able to get something out of it.

P.S. the CDU's mayoral candidate, Von Beust, had a favorability rating of 56% going into the election, and 'a CDU led coalition' held 49% against 'a SPD coalition' at 39%. With that kind of polling, I doubt you can ascribe the result to fear-mongering against the left party (the FDP's failure to get 5% also plays into that).

The result rather shows that Naumann failed to make the argument for him against Von Beust effectively.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Feb 24th, 2008 at 02:54:12 PM EST

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