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41000 CDU voters did not show up. 11000 SPD voters did not show up. 16000 GAL voters did not show up(!)
Main other crossover from CDU is to the FDP: 11000 votes.
Main other crossover from SPD is to the Linke: 9000 votes.
GAL loses 10000 to SPD; 6000 to Linke.
FDP gains additional 5000 total votes from SPD, GAL, Other, but loses 3000 to no-shows rather than gaining any (which cost them their 5% mark).
Linke gain additional 3000 from CDU; 9000 from no-shows; 17,000 from other parties. Thereby, 26000 Linke votes come from outside the 4 party electorate, and 18000 from CDU/SPD/GAL (net difference with FDP is roughly 0).
The fact that 2/3rds of the Linke vote comes from people who did not vote; other parties, and the CDU is a very strong argument in favour of having the Linke as a party in the West, from the POV of SPD and Greens (and yes, also mine).
Meanwhile the SPD, but even more the Greens really have to worry about not being able to mobilise their voters. The Greens, I think, lost even more to no-shows than the CDU when you look at proportions. There must have been something seriously wrong with their ground game, or their campaign in general. Once again, it's all about GOTV.
The SPD failed to get a net plus in votes (even as they got a plus in their percentage of the total vote). The Greens lost across the board. The main problem for the Greens and the SPD, however, is not the Left Party, but rather failing to get enough people to show up.
Lack of participation also hit the CDU big, and cost the FDP their entry into the parliament.
The support for the Left Party, meanwhile, mainly comes from protest voters (who voted 'other' in the past elections) and from people who used to stay at home. When you couple that to a few CDU voters they picked off, their support is overwhelmingly (2/3rds) drawn from outside the left. This means that they strengthen the left much more than merely shifting its centre.
The question remains why many SPD and even more Green voters stayed at home. I don't know to what extent this is due to fear of an evil commie red-green-red alliance.
DDR-idolising Christel Wenger, the communist on a lower place on the Left Party list in Lower Saxony, made it into the regional parliament only due to the unexpected high success.
But this inspired some opponents in another way. As the Left Party jumped in Hamburg polls, on German webboards and blogs, a list spread with the communists on the Hamburg Left Party lists.
The twist is that Hamburg voted in a new election system. People vote for party lists and can specify five candidates, thus over-ruling the party lists... *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
as if it's a bad thing. The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill
The implicit issue in what I said is a minor sub-thread of the public debate on Wenger between the Left Party and detractors accusing it of knowingly bringing along foul cargo. I am reporting, not commenting:
Wenger didn't enter the Left Party, only its list under the aggreement to only represent Left Party positions if elected. However, the accusation went further that the Left Party assured her presence in Parliament with that list place, "for a few votes more": as the trade-off was that the communist dwarf party DKP didn't run in the elections. But some from the Left Party countered that she was given a lower place on the list, which wouldn't have gotten her in had the party not beaten opinion polls (getting 7% instead of 5%).
And now I am commenting.
Though I don't completely agree with the interpretation in nanne's link, I wrote about Wenger's comments re idolising the DDR. Though Wenger claims she was tricked and edited by the reporters on the two parts I quoted and which were most discussed, there were other whoppers that are more in the category of whitewashing a past regime rather than advocating real communism or socialism, say stuff on Margot Honecker. She may have specific blinders on as the daughter of parents and being herself someone who was under long state surveillance and persecution in West Germany, but those are blinders nevertheless.
Note that I'm not sure I have any serious problems with the other DKP member turned scandal for the Left Party mentioned in my linked diary, Pit Merz. *Lunatic*, n. One whose delusions are out of fashion.
This being said, I do note (via my father, who is in Germany roughly four months out of each year) that the internal situation viz. "reactionary forces" isn't particularly a good one, that being either black or in particular vietnamese in especially the former DDR can be quite difficult due to antisocial behavior on the part of local militants and the police do relatively little in these cases. I recall on firebombing case in Rostock getting much international cover, on vietnamese workers, and many attacks by skinheads in general, this later not being limited to the former DDR but also elsewhere in the new entrants to the EC.
Further it would appear that many wealthy Germans already have a hard time paying their proper share of taxes without even a properly Socialist tax and fiscal structure in place, so obviously this will need to be taken seriously.
Clearly, her polemics seem to be unauthorized and not particularly well phrased, politically. The Hun is always either at your throat or at your feet. Winston Churchill
P.S. FDP now at 4.7% at the 23:38 results. They're definitely not getting in.
The 2.6% to the 'other' category is split between DVU, Kusch, and other parties. Highest results for the DVU in 8 out of 17 boroughs that have final results is 1.8%, most under 1%. The far right is out of the game.
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