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He can win Ohio, but I wouldn't bet on it, just as I wouldn't bet on Florida (although Ohio is a bit more favorable territory).  The Inner Plains, the New South and the Mountain West are the key targets where he can pick up states.  McCain needs Ohio and Florida.  We don't.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri Mar 21st, 2008 at 01:42:13 PM EST
[ Parent ]
What do the poll numbers look like for Obama vs. McCain in the southern states?

you are the media you consume.

by MillMan (millguy at gmail) on Fri Mar 21st, 2008 at 02:21:24 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I'm not sure what they look like after Pastorgate, and we won't have a good idea until a week or so from now once everything's been digested, but at the last round of polling, it looked like he was strong in Virginia, North Carolina and Georgia -- either winning or within striking distance in all three.  Those would be the "New South" states (higher incomes, rapid development, etc) as opposed to Mississippi, Alabama and South Carolina, although Mississippi's enormous black population might -- not likely, but possibly -- put it in play if he could strip a few whites from McCain.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Fri Mar 21st, 2008 at 04:45:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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