Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
An excellent overview of the financial aspects of the current crises. What I would really love to see you explicate is how the financial system can be "tied" or "bound" (gagged, too?) to the real economy. My view of the situation is that the financial markets are in crises exactly because they have grown so much bigger than the real economy has - the point made two weeks ago by Eric Zencey in The roots of the subprime crisis
http://www.eurotrib.com/story/2008/3/11/122016/316

The point is, to use an old adage, you can't eat bonds or other paper (well, you could, but the nutritional value is questionable, and it would certainly be far too much roughage). It is the real economy that provides what we need to live - the food, clothing, shelter, transportation, medical services, education, and so. How then do we ensure that the financial system is first and foremost serving the needs and interests of the real economy?

The situation we find ourselves in today is that the real economy has been neglected and so distorted that so many of the costs of externalities have been borne by the ecological environment that many experts and laymen believe we are threatening our very physical existence. At the very least, it makes no sense to continue to burn fossil fuels as the basis for most activity in the real economy: whether they last ten years, a hundred years, or a thousand years really does not matter, there simply are finite supplies of the stuff. Personally, more worrisome to me are the very apparent strains on fresh water supplies.

Now, fixing these problems will require enormous amounts of money. Where shall such amounts be obtained? Under our present financial arrangements, they cannot. Yet, the equivalent of three to five trillion dollars or more are traded each and every day in various financial markets around the world. I would venture to guess that some 99 percent of those financial flows do nothing at all to help the real economy; certainly they do nothing to help solve the problems we face in resource depletion and misuse. Thus, the major problem I see that needs to be solved is how to compel those flows of money (or credit, or whatever the technically term is), into helping solve the real economic problems that we face. As I have written before: how do we ensure that the credit mechanism of the economy is not being misused for private gain? How do we ensure that the credit mechanism of the economy is instead being misused for to advance the public good?

Here is where the fight lies. Neo-liberal economic theology, laissez faire posits that the greatest public good results when the markets are given the widest possible freedom. I believe the current crises - taken on its own merits as merely financial crises and leaving aside the whole issue of how the financial systems helps or hurts the real economy - shows that Neo-liberal economic theology is grievously mistaken in its approach to achieving the greatest public good. What comes now is the political struggle as certain vested interests argue vociferously for - what it boils down to - their "right" to make a profit at the expense of the public good. These vested interests of course can never admit that the public good - in terms of the ecological environment and / or the physical capacity of the real economy to support and sustain a dignified level of human life for everyone - is now so endangered that any supposed "right" to make a profit at the expense of the public good can no longer be tolerated.

But to return to my key question: How do we ensure that the credit mechanism of the economy is not being misused for private gain? How do we ensure that the credit mechanism of the economy is instead being misused for to advance the public good? And the credit mechanism, of course, is the financial system.

by NBBooks on Fri Mar 28th, 2008 at 11:51:01 AM EST
NBBooks:
What I would really love to see you explicate is how the financial system can be "tied" or "bound" (gagged, too?) to the real economy.

The key to this is the "monetisation" of "Value" eg units of energy (kilowatt hours); labour (man hours) and most of all - land rentals.

Our current "Money as Debt" is based not upon Value but a Claim over Value (IOU) issued by a credit institution and based only upon a small amount of "regulatory capital".

The mechanism by which this monetisation will occur, I believe, is a reinvention of "Equity" via a process of "unitisation" to give:

(a) redeemable Units of these different fungible forms of value; and

(b) non redeemable (because there must always be 100%) proportional Units of production;

are available to investors.

In the former case there may be a return, as the market price varies over time, but the investor will always have the choice of actually redeeming the unit for something of value to him.

In the latter case, there is a variable return, which depends upon the production of the asset.

But note that for neither of these is there are a time constraint, as with debt. The former is for an indefinite period; the latter for an infinite period.

NBBooks:

Now, fixing these problems will require enormous amounts of money. Where shall such amounts be obtained?

The solution lies in a "Debt/Equity" swap on a massive scale. All of the existing mortgage debt and securities in their myriad manifestations will be gradually exchanged for units of index-linked property rental revenue flows.

Affordable rentals for the occupiers on the one hand (because no capital is repaid, and an index-linked return is lower than a conventional return).

A reasonable - say 1 to 2% real return - on the other hand with the attraction that the affordability of the rental leads to greater certainty of payment.

The outcome will be that the greater part of value in circulation is then "land-locked" in that it is redeemable only in the country of issue. ie exchange control is built in....

Cross border value flows, on the other hand, would be of fungible units of energy, and of course in the labour value we ourselves produce.

All of these fungible units will be exchanged on what is a barter network or "International Clearing Union".

Any necessary credit = "time to pay"  will come from the use of risk sharing "Guarantee Societies" which are backed by provisions made into "Pools" of value units by both buyer and seller.

This is exactly what Keynes had in mind with the "Bancor" when he suggested that both holders of positive and negative Bancor balances should pay a charge in respect of their balances.

NBBooks:

But to return to my key question: How do we ensure that the credit mechanism of the economy is not being misused for private gain? How do we ensure that the credit mechanism of the economy is instead being misused for to advance the public good? And the credit mechanism, of course, is the financial system.

The result of the "unitisation" of secured credit within partnership-based frameworks would in fact give rise to a system with no "rentiers", where all finance originates from the productive economy.

A world without "Debt" in fact.

"The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Fri Mar 28th, 2008 at 06:40:32 PM EST
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