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ETA wants Rajoy as Prime Minister.

But they killed a Socialist, not a PP member.

Which might rally voters in support of the PSOE.

However, the PSOE is divided on Zapatero's ETA policies, as well as on his devolution policies.

So this might demovilize the PSOE vote. Killing a PP member wouldn't have mobilized the PP vote any more since they are nearly 100% mobilized already.

There is a new political party, Unión Prograso y Democracia, started by a former Basque Socialist MEP who ran against Zapatero in the PSOE leadership contest in 2000 and quit the PSOE over Zapatero's ETA and devolution policies. They are "Progressive, non-nationalist, constitutionalist and secular". My problem with their non-nationalist is that it is Spanish centralist: they are not federalist and believe Spain has had enough devolution already.

Zapatero must have been as livid as he was when, on 30 December 2006, the day after he claimed "on terrorism we'll be much better a year from now than we are today", ETA demolished a parking structure at Madrid's Barajas airport and killed two immigrants.

That was a huge failure of intelligence. Either the intelligence services didn't know what was up, or they knew and didn't tell ZP, or they told him and he didn't listen. The fact that nobody was fired or "promoted away" suggests to me that ZP wasn't listening. Was he also not listening on this occasion?

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Mar 7th, 2008 at 09:35:45 AM EST
I was expecting the killing of a PP leader.. why not?

Maybe it is because the PP electorate is already mobilized as you say..

I do not know...

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Fri Mar 7th, 2008 at 09:37:47 AM EST
[ Parent ]
This is fucking ridiculous. This will make two cosecutive elections with a high-profile terrorist attack within 72h of the election.

Which means, whoever wins will be an "accidental president" yet again.

It makes me want to throw up.

I want heads to roll in the intelligence services. They should have rolled after March 11 2004 and after December 20 2006.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Mar 7th, 2008 at 09:39:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It was really devastating to see another useless death, when I heard it at lunch.

What would ETA win with Rajoy as President, if all he will do is use full force and ´never even listen´?  Maybe the regional Basque PSOE is divided, but it doesn´t seem to be at national level.

I agree that it´s a failure of intelligence, but they couldn´t possibly cover every past politician and it sounds more like the only weak spot ETA could find, given the full alert of the security services all week.  Maybe the Mondragon police should have been more thorough?  The victim had given up his security detail because he was no longer a councilman in the city and obviously ETA doesn´t have the manpower to attempt against someone now in office.

This is the 5th ETA murder in these four years, after the two people at the airport and the two civil guards in France.  It´s a desperately, cowardly murder by two men, but it also says that they are not operationally ready for the targets they wish.

After a while of news repetition though, I thought about the 16 women dead, so far, in 2008 from family violence (about 70 in 2007) and I thought we should call it family ´terrorism´ too, so that the same resources are used to stop it!

Our knowledge has surpassed our wisdom. -Charu Saxena.

by metavision on Fri Mar 7th, 2008 at 02:15:50 PM EST
[ Parent ]
metavision:

Maybe the regional Basque PSOE is divided, but it doesn´t seem to be at national level.

Hmm, Bono, Rodríguez-Ibarra, even Rubalcaba (according to Rumours). There must be more where Rosa Díez came from.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Mar 7th, 2008 at 04:23:31 PM EST
[ Parent ]
metavision:
What would ETA win with Rajoy as President, if all he will do is use full force and ´never even listen´?
In recent times the Basque independentists have never been politically stronger than in 1998-2000 when polarization of the Basque political climate led to the Basque PP being the second party, the independentist EH the third and the Social Democrat PSE-EE dropped from second to 4th.

Polarization benefits both the PP and ETA. They need each other.

We have met the enemy, and he is us — Pogo

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Sat Mar 8th, 2008 at 06:02:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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