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I'd guess he's suggesting that war with the USSR is likely in his near future ...
... the clear implication of his argument would be that war with the USSR was unlikely in his near future. No guessing required. In any of the long cycle theories, great powers do not start a new hegemonic war so soon after the previous one has finally concluded. I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
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