Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Display:
EUROPE
by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:06:53 AM EST
Serbia Steps Closer to EU With Signing of Long-Delayed Pact | Europe | Deutsche Welle | 29.04.2008
Serbia has signed a key agreement that will bring it closer to coveted European Union membership. But the Balkan country will have to convince its EU partners and its own countrymen that it's ready to join the bloc.

The Stabilization and Association Agreement (SAA), a precursor to full EU membership talks, was signed on Tuesday, April 29, by the EU foreign ministers and Serbia's Deputy Prime Minister Bozidar Djelic in the presence of the Serbian President, Boris Tadic.

 

Bildunterschrift: Großansicht des Bildes mit der Bildunterschrift:  Djelic (left), Tadic, Solana and Rupel were happy that the job was done

Europe hopes that the deal will boost Serbia's pro-European parties ahead of an upcoming parliamentary vote.

 

But first, the ex-Yugoslav country will have to show it is fully cooperating with the International War Crimes Tribunal in The Hague. EU states will not ratify the pact, nor will Serbia get any trade or other benefits until this condition is met.

by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:11:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
BBC NEWS | Europe | Georgia-Russia tensions ramped up

Russia has warned it will retaliate if Georgia uses force against its breakaway regions.

Moscow has accused Georgia of preparing to invade Abkhazia, and says it is boosting Russian forces there and in the South Ossetia region.

Georgia has reacted angrily to the Russian move, which its prime minister called "irresponsible".

The EU also urged caution, saying to increase troop numbers would be unwise given current tensions.

Russia's foreign minister said his country was not preparing for war but would "retaliate" to any attack.

by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:11:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ah, the wonderful symmetry of hypocrisy: Russia twice defended territorial integrity by an armed re-invasion of Chechnya, but defends the separatists from Georgia; and the EU defends Georgia's territorial integrity while supporting the separatists (the non-Serbian ones) in ex-Yugoslavia.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 04:32:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We(st)'re always supporting the good guys in any given dispute, for the simple reason that they are the good guys because we(st) support them.

No hypocrisy whatsoever, it's very consistent, in fact. It's just not very-reality-based. But we(st) make our own reality.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:21:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The concept of good guys is not exactly something that can be reality based.

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:06:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The power struggle - Business News, Business - The Independent

The price of power and who foots the bill for Britain's rocketing energy costs took centre stage yesterday as the oil giants Shell and BP unveiled huge combined profits of £7.2bn, made in just three months, and consumers were hit with a new round of steep rises in prices from gas and electricity to air travel.

Npower, Britain's fourth largest domestic power supplier, signalled the start of what experts said will be another round of price increases in gas and electricity after it abolished its cheapest online dual fuel tariff and raised charges for new internet customers by up to 20 per cent. Industry analysts expect all energy bills to rise by another 20 to 25 per cent by next spring, pushing another one million Britons into fuel poverty.

The hike was just one of several being absorbed by consumers yesterday, ranging from an increase of up to £30 per return flight in the fuel surcharge paid by British Airways' passengers, to petrol pump prices now averaging 109p per litre of unleaded fuel. One forecourt in Kent was charging 129p per litre.

by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:14:10 AM EST
[ Parent ]
if it is true that "Europe has ... all the gas it needs" in contrast to the shortages and super-high prices in Britain, this unfortunate situation can be used as a vivid in your face test case to open up the eyes of all those who believe that sheer "free marketism" is better than well-regulated state utilities for providing steady, affordable energy (among other things).

i admit that even though i was already intellectually persuaded of this (by all the diaries and discussions on the topic here, plus the California electricity deregulation debacle), the stark contrast between Britain and Europe at this particular moment really drove it home for me.

is there a way to use Helen's Helen's letter to the Guardian as a foot in the door to enlighten the English-reading public about the realities of market-based versus more state-managed energy policies?  i know you all have been shouting from the roof-tops about this forever, but here is a particularly good window of opportunity to really change minds among the public who is directly affected, and harmed, by these bad policies.

kool-aid is very hard to wring out, but these days look fine ones for some serious laundry.

A language is a dialect with an army and navy.

by marco on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 01:18:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]
free market rules work reasonably well in the energy sector when you have plentiful supplies. The UK had that for a while with the North Sea, and price competition sort of made sense.

But it's not very good at dealing with a situation of structural undersupply, where you need to rely primarily on imports, which in turn require specific infrastructure, at least physical and usually also political, and the long term relationships and contracts that implies.

For which you need public bodies.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:24:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Now published, 2nd letter down

keep to the Fen Causeway
by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:39:12 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Perfect!

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:43:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Congratulations, Helen, hope this and the antibiotics are making you feel better!
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:52:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
by marco on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 07:01:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well done!

"The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson
by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 07:09:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Short and sweet.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 07:13:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
As inflation squeezes middle-class Europe, anxiety about the future - International Herald Tribune

LES ULIS, France: When the local bakery increased the price of a baguette for the third time in six months last year, Anne-Laure Renard and Guy Talpot invested in a bread-baking machine. When gasoline became their single biggest monthly expense in January, they decided to sell one of their two cars.

Now, as everything from baby milk to chocolate desserts drives up their living costs, Renard, a teacher, and Talpot, a mailman, are planning their most radical lifestyle change yet: They are getting married to reduce their tax bill.

"I never thought I would be in this position, counting every cent," Renard said one recent evening as her companion measured milk powder for their 13-month-old son, Vincent, in the kitchen. "I mean, I am a teacher. If I can't get by, how do others manage?"

They are not poor, but they are peeved.

Across Europe, people in the middle layer of the labor force - from office workers, civil servants and skilled laborers to low-level managers - are coping with a growing sense that they are being pushed to the margins like never before, as a combination of rising costs and stagnant wages erodes their purchasing power.

by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:15:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
they decided to sell one of their two cars.

Hooray.

Now, what about those below the middle-class?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 04:35:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Indeed, having two cars when the main salary is just a teacher (they are paid pretty low wages) is calling for trouble, so there is some caricature in the example.

Now I agree that the problems must be more acute for those below middle class. Having said that, if you must be low income class, France is not the worst place in the world to be so (although UMP is trying to make strides in that direction).

Anyway, cars are a very real trap for a lot of people. It is a pit of spending (all the more so because it is a universal symbol of status, and people tend to buy a much more expensive one thant they need). Cutting on that expense allows a huge improvement in financial flexibility. Still, many unrich people are obsessed about them and will sooner stop using hot water than their car.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:44:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Actually, teachers and postmen are very quickly moving down the economic ladder ;  teachers are paid wages that don't really make one able to maintain a middle class lifestyle. And nothing proves their two cars were in themselves expensive ; they could have bought second hand old small cars at a couple thousand euros...

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:21:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"they could have bought second hand old small cars at a couple thousand euros... "

Well, those are the upfront costs. But a car is expensive without them: insurance, parking, petrol, repairs. And those last two marginal costs are worse for a second hand car than for a new one (although small is always better indeed).

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 07:26:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And these are the costs that force them to sell their second one ; having two cars in itself is not a mark of wealth, was my point. There are plenty of poorer-than-middle-class people able to own a car per adult - more so in the countryside than in urban settings.

In les Ulis, this couple is possibly renting an apartment, maybe even social housing, and that Parisian suburb doesn't have great transportation - cars are quite useful.

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères

by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 07:54:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Cries of 'Duce! Duce!' salute Rome's new mayor | World news | The Guardian

Italy's new parliament met for the first time yesterday with applause for Rome's mayor-elect, Gianni Alemanno, a day after followers celebrated his triumph with straight-arm salutes and fascist-era chants.

Alemanno, a former neo-fascist youth leader, took 54% of the vote in a run-off on Sunday and Monday, crushing his rival, Francesco Rutelli, a deputy prime minister in the last, centre-left government.

Silvio Berlusconi, who won a general election earlier this month, welcomed the latest evidence of Italy's leap to the right by declaring: "We are the new Falange." Although he took care to wrap his remark in a classical context, his choice of words appeared to be a nod and a wink to his most extreme supporters.

The original Falange - the word means "phalanx" - was the Spanish fascist party, founded in the 1930s, which supplied Francisco Franco's dictatorship with its ideological underpinning.

by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:17:35 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The exalted behaviour of the fascist rightwing has justly gained prominence in much of the international press. It however should be qualified by a portrait of Gianni Alemanno, why he won so many votes in traditional Left strongholds and who are the real representatives of the modern extreme rightwing.

The latter is alluded to in Hooper's article and has been my contention here: That the New Right, subversive and in collusion with the mafias, is pioneered by Berlusconi and Bossi. Ayatollah Bossi's delirious frothings yesterday of having 300,000 martyrs with hot guns ready to come out of the mountains accompanies his declaration that Berlusconi is married to the Lega Nord and must do as they say.

The Left wing leader Francesco Caruso replied that in the South he would be glad to oblige with 300,000 rebels ready to weed out the Padanian thugs.

President Napolitano in an official visit in Austria remarked that whether the "hot guns" were real or made of paper, as Berlusconi apologizes, doesn't enthuse him.

As for the vote in Rome, what is noteworthy is that the Left punished the Party because they did not want Francesco Rutelli. In fact what happened was a "disjunctive" vote. The other leftist candidate for the Province of Rome, Nicola Zingaretti, won by a very large margin. Rutelli is generally considered as having been a very good mayor after decades of Democrat Christian-Socialist corruption. However, since he has been on the national scene since 2001, he has progressively moved to very conservative positions, still remaining in the Center-left coalition. He became a "Papa boy." So the Leftist base sent a strong signal that they prefer to have a leftist ex-fascist as mayor but not Rutelli. Had the center-left coalition presented a "new face" perhaps they would have won as they did with Zingaretti.

As for Alemanno, he hails from the so-called Social Right, the ideological socialist movement of democratic fascism. His mentor was Pino Rauti, a Repubblichino soldier under the Nazi puppet state, Salò. Alemanno is married to Rauti's daughter. In his youth Alemanno is best remembered as being arrested for demonstrating against Bush father when he came to celebrate the Anglo-American attack on Nettuno. During Berlusconi's last tenure in office Alemanno was minister of Agriculture. Unlike many other ministers he is remembered as having done a good job.  In terms of corruption he was charged with taking an 85000 euro kickback in favors from Parmalat in a controversy over a product sold as fresh milk. When the Parmalat scandal broke, his ministry revoked the concession. Charges were eventually dropped as a minor incident. Given the rapacity of the Berlusconi government from 2001-2006, he comes off as fairly honest. As his first act he has asked a bipartisan group to prepare a study of Rome, "along the lines of the Sarkozy initiative."

Gianfranco Fini has just been elected Speaker of the House of Deputies and is now giving his speech. Yesterday it was the turn of Renato Schifani, elected head of the Senate. It's a small comfort to see that this mafia-tainted lackey will not become Minister of the Interior- or Justice. For those roles, certainly Berlusconi has someone far worse in mind.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:08:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Two questions:

  1. When you say socialist do you mean that or just the standard issue fascist economic ideology?

  2. What is democratic fascism?

The Polish ones are pretty left in the sense of wanting a strong social safety net and a large role for the state in the economy, but they're not what I'd call socialist. Left fascism is distinguished from socialism by viewing class conflict as an evil born of liberalism, and which can be solved by the state taking control and acting as the deciding vote in a corporatist structure. In practice, whenever they've come to power the dirigiste part of the program came to pass, but they've always leaned heavily to the employer side in their role within the corporatist system. I'd also say that democratic fascism is a contradiction. Fascism sees democracy as inherently harmful because it divides the nation into competing groups.
by MarekNYC on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 11:42:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In brief it's as you say the new economic ideology as it was developed after the fall of fascism, not the ideology of the twenties which was modified or abandoned during the dictatorship. They call themselves the "Social Right," in that they feel that such fascist programs as the bonification of the swamps south of Rome in the '30's and the transplanting of populations to that area caused a radical modification of class relations.

"Democratic fascism" refers to the attempt by interest groups or individuals in the Allied Forces who sought together with fascist and ex-fascist hierarchs, to foster and promote a moderate fascist party during and immediately after the war. The idea of the Democratic Fascist Party was supplanted by Giorgio Almirante's MSI, the Italian Social Movement.

The MSI was changed into the more moderate Allianza Nazionale which has repudiated fascism on paper. The more militant nostalgics have moved over to small splinter groups, most note worthy Storace's Destra Party. Nevertheless, since most of the leaders of the AN party hail from a militant fascist past, when they win, their followers revert to compulsive arm-raising.

As for Fini's election to President of the House of Deputies today, he gave a speech in which he evoked the values of the Resistance and May First. Liberation Day which is April 25th has always been the national holiday of the Resistance. It has been boycotted by the Rightwing throughout the Republic, most noteworthy a few days ago by Berlusconi and Bossi. It would be tantamount to having Bush refuse to celebrate July 4th, but that's Italy.

Fini spoke out against tyranny and dictatorship, despite his strange bedfellows, and exalted the unity of Italy. So at least at word his party has come full circle. As for Berlusconi and Bossi, I'm certain that they will continue to be Italy's irreducible, seditious far Right. In the end it may be Fini who safeguards a Republic born on the ruins of Fascism against a New Right that has no ideology nor values.

by de Gondi (publiobestia aaaatttthotmaildaughtusual) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:34:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]
fascinating, thanks, de G.

it's strange, but i head similar feeling watching fini give his acceptance speech.

he is not loved much by the voting public, methinks, because he is cold-blooded and not privy to outbursts of egoistic nature, very controlled, and careful where he places his rhetorical feet. indeed his speech was placidly unitive, without the obvious pandering to the old gods veltroni indulged in, during his last pre-election speech.

fini did come off as moderate, and sane, although there is a strong feeling of 'what you see may not be what you get' around him too.

his good points seem to be a welcome lack of hysteria, pompousness, and a methodical, painstaking character, an ordered mind free of demagoguery.

the negative ones are a strange impersonality, a 'grey' vibe, pursed lips, and an over-cerebrality. does he feel anything?

he doesn't seem a statesman, a bit apparatchik, cold steel where others have a soft place.

next to bossi and berl, i think you're right he may be the brake on things sliding much faster into chaos and even more confusion.

what beats me, is how a man that wily and intelligent cannot see the quandary italy's energy policies have led her into, and how starightforward action to remedy this disgrace would be politically popular and career-promoting, for him and the party horse he rode in on.

yet all we get are more platitudes and 'good' intentions.

he's not a fool, and doesn't seem as corrupt as the rest of them, maybe that's why the senators feel safe(r) electing him?

is his creativity ensnared in the backroom dealmaking that keeps italian politicians so out of touch with the citizenry?

what a 'rovescio' this last election spate has been...i'm hoping it's the 'sunset effect' of the hard right, their last chance to 'get it right'.

which mostly means giving in to confindustria on everything and projecting all italy's problems on the immigrants. salaries stay low, industrial accidents continue at the present disgusting rate, and the people get hungrier as the pasta prices triple.

security everywhere, all the time.....meaning three paddywagons to charm the tourists in piazza di spagna instead of the one or two.

and lots more street cameras...

well this should serve as a warning to other democracies what happens if you let media tycoons become pols, or vice-versa.

italy needs a makeover...

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Thu May 1st, 2008 at 09:23:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
FT.com / World - Gulf investor warns of EU over-regulation

One of the most powerful Gulf investors has warned that European attempts to force greater transparency on sovereign wealth funds are making the continent unattractive for investment.

Sultan bin Sulayem, head of Dubai World, said such moves by regulators were discriminatory and would deter him from investing. In an interview with the FT, the head of Dubai's powerful government-backed conglomerate said Europe was now exerting more pressure on SWFs than the US, which has openly resisted Arab investment in assets deemed "strategic".

by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 12:34:22 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Now.. serously.. hwo do they manage to fuck me with this sh** everyday is still a mistery.. I thought I would had antibodies by now.

A pleasure

I therefore claim to show, not how men think in myths, but how myths operate in men's minds without their being aware of the fact. Levi-Strauss, Claude

by kcurie on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:13:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And what exactly is he going to do with all these piles of dollars. Let them rot? hahahahahahahaha.

F*** him.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:26:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And the pleasing thisng is that I suspect that many in senior positions around europe are beginning to take the same attitude.

Mind you, with the UK in a race to the gutter with Ireland over who can reduce corporation tax who knows how much of the UK will end up owned by the Gulf, but I think mainland europe is taking a line of greater defence of the interests of their people and economies.

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:48:32 AM EST
[ Parent ]
EU attempts to woo Serbia with pre-accession deal - EUobserver.com
EUOBSERVER / LUXEMBOURG - With just over a week to go until what is being billed as decisive elections in Serbia, the EU on Tuesday (29 April) sent a strong political signal to the western Balkan country that its future belongs in the European Union.

In a piece of political manoeuvring that gives the pro-EU forces in Belgrade something to use at home but upholds a key European demand, both sides signed a pre-membership deal at a meeting of foreign ministers in Luxembourg.

The deal came after the Netherlands and Belgium dropped their opposition to the move but on condition that the implementation of the agreement depends on Belgrade's cooperation with the UN war crimes tribunal.

"This is a good day, a happy day for both Serbia and the EU," Slovenian foreign minister Dimitrij Rupel whose country currently holds the rotating EU presidency, said after signing the Stabilisation and Association Agreement (SAA) in Luxembourg.
by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 01:19:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Brussels blames part of food price rise on US biofuels policy - EUobserver.com
EU trade commissioner Peter Mandelson has conceded that certain biofuel policies contribute to food price rises and increase greenhouse gas emissions, but that Europe's policies are sound.

Instead, Mr Mandelson has suggested that it is Washington's biofuels policies that are having these unwanted consequences.

"We can already see that large-scale biofuel production, especially in the US, may be one of the factors pushing up food prices as it diverts resources from food production," said the commissioner, writing in UK daily the Guardian on Tuesday (29 April).

"The race to grow maize for ethanol subsidies in the US reduces the supply of food crops on world markets and drives up the cost of this important staple," he continued.

EU leaders last spring agreed that the EU should increase the use of biofuels in transport fuel to ten percent by 2020, up from a planned 5.75 percent target to be achieved by 2010.
by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 01:20:30 AM EST
[ Parent ]
EU leaders last spring agreed that the EU should increase the use of biofuels in transport fuel to ten percent by 2020, up from a planned 5.75 percent target to be achieved by 2010.

As long as liquid fuel use drops by at least 40% by 2020, that might even be a good thing.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 02:04:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Are you kidding ?? With petrol rising as it is, we might hit 40% in 2010. People just can't afford it any more.

In the US they are no longer talking about how suburbia might be impacted when oil prices rise, they're talking about suburbia dying now. The same is happening here. Those people who commute in by car to London from 60/70 miles away each day are suddenly realising this is  practice with no future.

And prices aren't coming down. Even the bone-headed Hamish McRae has noticed

keep to the Fen Causeway

by Helen (lareinagal at yahoo dot co dot uk) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:58:51 AM EST
[ Parent ]
EUobserver.com
Brussels criticised on access to documents law
- EUobserver.com
EUOBSERVER/ BRUSSELS - The European Commission's plans to overhaul rules on public access to documents have been strongly criticised by a civil liberties watchdog, which says its proposals are "retrogressive" in key areas.

Due to be unveiled on Wednesday (30 April), the proposal updates a 2001 law on document transparency that has been subject to strong criticism by MEPs and NGOs for being too restrictive.

But according to UK civil liberties organisation Statewatch, the proposed amendments "do not consider many of the fundamental questions posed by civil society and the European Parliament."

"Two of the commission amendments are highly retrogressive," said Statewatch editor Tony Bunyan.
by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 01:21:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Russia and Serbia relations top EU foreign ministers' meeting - EUobserver.com
EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - Long-delayed partnership talks between the EU and Russia have hit another stumbling block, as Lithuania refuses to approve the launch due to bilateral disputes with Moscow, including one over energy security.

"Our position has not been fully taken into account to date and I am prepared to demand that the issue of the mandate for the EU-Russian talks is taken off the agenda," Lithuanian foreign minister Petras Vaitiekunas told AFP on Monday (28 April).

The warning came only a day before EU foreign ministers are to gather in Luxembourg and approve a negotiating mandate for the talks on the Partnership and Cooperation Agreement - a treaty covering areas such as the economy, external security or justice and home affairs.

The mandate outlines precisely what the European Commission's manoeuvring space will be during the EU-Russia talks planned to be launched at a June EU-Russia summit in Siberia.
by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 01:22:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Britain and France on path to EU budget penalty procedure - EUobserver.com
EUOBSERVER / BRUSSELS - While budgetary discipline in most of the European Union's member states significantly improved over the past year, the UK and France - the bloc's economic heavy-weights - are expected to breach the public deficit rules by next year.

Joaquin Almunia, the EU's economy commissioner, told reporters on Monday (28 April) that he will in June propose the launch of a disciplinary procedure against Britain for accumulating a higher budgetary deficit than the three percent of GDP threshold.

According to the European Commission's spring economic forecast, the UK's deficit will be 3.3 percent in both 2008 and 2009, with Hungary the only other EU member state set to register higher than the allowed spending this year.

France is also being marked down on the EU's budgetary blacklist. "According to our predictions for growth and impact of the French budgetary and fiscal policies, we imagine that this deficit will go up to 2.9 percent in 2008," said Mr Almunia.
by Fran on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 01:23:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
To avoid singling out the UK as the only offender among the EU15, the EUobserver has to lie about France...
the UK and France - the bloc's economic heavy-weights - are expected to breach the public deficit rules by next year
So France is no longer the sick man of Europe?
Joaquin Almunia, the EU's economy commissioner, told reporters on Monday (28 April) that he will in June propose the launch of a disciplinary procedure against Britain for accumulating a higher budgetary deficit than the three percent of GDP threshold.
So, that's Britain, what about France?
"According to our predictions for growth and impact of the French budgetary and fiscal policies, we imagine that this deficit will go up to 2.9 percent in 2008," said Mr Almunia.
It's better to say "the UK is doing as poorly as France" than "as poorly as Hungary", apparently.
According to the European Commission's spring economic forecast, the UK's deficit will be 3.3 percent in both 2008 and 2009, with Hungary the only other EU member state set to register higher than the allowed spending this year.


When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 02:01:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
It is in fact an astoundingly muddled and dishonest article. Pretty muddled and dishonest Almunia, too.
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 03:19:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]
describing France and the UK as the "economic powerhouses" of the EU... when Germany actually has a budget surplus right now, not to mention stronger growth and a larger economy.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:39:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, there is indeed some attempt to play down the UK's problems, but frankly France is horrible about its deficits.

Reneging on a promise to balance the budget by 2010, which had been the reason why it avoided penalties in the past.
Treating 3% deficit as a target -2.4% is apparently as good as it gets if it's a boom year and all the demographics are pointing in the right direction
Having supply side economics as the main act in one year of government
Completely fanciful estimates about the economic future by the administration, and spinning it ever further (apparently the EU would be very far from the marketplace consensus, which is at the same time completely false based on all the estimates I read, and giving too much power to the stock exchange actors for my taste)

France should not complain too much about being maligned.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 03:58:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Budget deficits is what you get with rightwing and/or neocon governments.

But the fact remains that Labour's UK is doing a lot worse and has now done so for quite a few years.

So the criticism of that shoddy article are warranted.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:37:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Oh, of course, it's a waste of electrons (the powerhouse bit was beyond laughable).

The UK is lucky to have a low debt right now (and that is partly linked to their good fortune of having their own oil over the recent past, which explains all of their 'superior' economic performance and then some, despite all the neo-liberal spin), because the path it's on right now isn't particularly pretty.

But I am so cross with what France is doing about that that I would welcome a Brussels procedure for excessive deficits.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:54:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Treating 3% deficit as a target

I have to say this is a sin the entire Eurozone has committed. They have interpreted a cap as a target during good times, meaning they have no room for counter-cyclical fiscal policy during bad times.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 05:52:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, with Eurozone deficit estimated at -0.6% in 2007 and -1.0% this year, and only Greece, France, Portugal, Italy and Malta doing worse than those averages, I think the above no longer applies.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:00:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, I don't think you can just spread the blame equally.

This is far from a cluster at -3% for all countries.

Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed. Gandhi

by Cyrille (cyrillev domain yahoo.fr) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:02:43 AM EST
[ Parent ]
That's a funny definition of "principal countries", but the point is well taken, I'll update my conventional wisdom.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:08:28 AM EST
[ Parent ]
What is Finland doing with a 5% budget surplus ? Does it have so much debt to pay back ?

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:23:54 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You can check both deficits and total debt level in the before-last page of the original Commission press release [pdf!]. Finland seems going for under-30%-of-GDP debt levels.

Personally, I think 0% debt level is pretty nice. No dependence on creditors dictating policy.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 03:45:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]
As we know, there's no need for debt to fund public spending. The legislature approves spending levels which are funded out of reserves or newly created money. Any excess purchasing power resulting from this is taxed away to prevent inflation.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 03:52:29 PM EST
[ Parent ]
However, if you check the table on the last page of the original EU Commission press release [pdf!], you'll see that France is predicted to rwach the 3% limit in 2009 "with unchanged policies". And they predict Hungary at -4.0% this year and -3.6% next year, still much worse than the UK (but much better than the US at -5.0 resp. -5.9). I see EUObserver also forgot about Romania: predicted at -2.9% this year, and -3.7(!) next year.

I also note that overall debt is much lover for the UK than France, though predicted to rise sharply.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 04:50:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]
From the BBC:

Supermaket(sic) chain Tesco has announced that a range of its own-brand products will carry labels showing the size of the goods' carbon footprints.

Tesco said it would label 20 items, including light bulbs and potatoes, during a two-year trial of the scheme, which is operated by the Carbon Trust.

And:

Shoppers will be able to compare products' carbon footprints

Hmmm.  Not sure how a range of 20 products is going to make that possible.  Still, with the fashion for competitive inflationary greenwash, it might only be a matter of time before a high-end chain announces it will do the same on all its products...

by Sassafras on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 02:58:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
"I didn't really need a new lightbulb so I bought a low CO2 potato instead."

Hurrah. We're saved. Etc.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:07:25 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Gianfranco Fini just voted in, with Rome gone to Allemano, it's a clean sweep for the right.

Poor Italy!

'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty

by melo (melometa4(at)gmail.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:02:16 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Mortgage approvals lowest since 1993

Mortgage approvals fell in March to levels not seen since the property slump of the early 1990s, Bank of England figures revealed on Tuesday.

The data came as a leading economist warned that the housing market was "eerily similar" to the US's, which is experiencing the highest default rates since the 1930s.

Approvals on mortgages for new home purchases fell by 11 per cent to 64,000 in March, close to levels not seen since the fourth quarter of 1992, when the UK was in the throes of a property recession. Lending for new house purchases is now at levels not seen since prices were falling in real terms at double-digit annualised rates.

But hey, look! Prospects for the eurozone are eroding! Pity them! Reform! Reform!

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 06:14:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Greece agrees to join South Stream pipeline

Greece formally agreed on Tuesday to host a section of Gazprom's planned South Stream natural gas export pipeline, furthering its goal to become a regional transport hub for oil and gas supplies to Europe.

Gazprom, Russia's state-run gas company, is building the pipeline in a partnership with Eni, the Italian oil company, to carry up to 30bn cubic metres a year of Russian gas across the Black Sea to Bulgaria.

From there it will split into two routes - one going north toward Slovenia and Italy, and another going south to Greece and across the Adriatic to Italy.

"The signing of the agreement to construct the Greek part of the South Stream pipeline has become the most important result [of talks]," Vladimir Putin, Russian president, said after a meeting with Kostas Karamanlis, the Greek prime minister.

Analysts say the South Stream project will pose a big challenge to the US and EU-backed Nabucco pipeline scheme. Under Nabucco, gas would come from ex-Soviet Azerbaijan to south Europe via Turkey, in an EU effort to diversify energy sources away from Russia. However, experts say the pipeline's fruition is becoming increasingly difficult as Azeri reserves are questioned.

It's good to see reality trumping over politics.

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes

by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Wed Apr 30th, 2008 at 07:14:40 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Display:

Occasional Series