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I'm surprised at how bad Ireland looks in terms of currency reserves.  For quite a few years now we have been putting 1% of GDP into a National Investment Reserve to fund future public sector pension requirements - something which I think is very unusual if not unique in terms of national accounts.  Does this distort the currency reserve picture?  It is a significant hedge against future expenditures/costs even if not directly energy related.  It will help soften the blow of future energy related costs.  

Having said that Ireland is unconscionably dependent on imported energy and has been slow at developing its significant wind resources and improving the insulation levels of its housing/building stock.  We will have to readjust fast, but there are some signs that this is happening to a limited degree.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue May 27th, 2008 at 07:11:08 AM EST
Note this is currency reserves as a multiple of net energy imports, not as a fraction of GDP. In absolute terms, Ireland has $1bn in reserves which is not small potatoes.

Question: given this, would it make more sense to change the second chart to have both axes as a fraction of GDP?

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue May 27th, 2008 at 07:20:13 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Not being an economist, I'm not clear on the significance of currency reserves in this discussion. Do we mean foreign currency reserves? Since joining the Euro, Ireland has had much less need of maintaining foreign currency reserves partly because it doesn't have its own currency to protect against speculation etc., and partly because much more of it's trade is within the Euro area.

If we are discussing "ability to pay" for oil imports, surely trade surpluses, budget deficits, national debt as % of GDP etc. are much more relevant measures?

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Tue May 27th, 2008 at 07:13:38 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not quite unique. Denmark is doing something similar w.r.t. pension scheme. Of course, here it's mostly a "tax-without-taxing" thing...

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Tue May 27th, 2008 at 07:25:54 AM EST
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