Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
I have the same hope, and the same feeling that it ain't gonna happen. I don't mind Furman so much given the job he's suppposed to do, but the fact that Goolsbee was his first go to guy was a very bad omen. Actually the article I read on the Furman issue gave made me feel slightly better. They mentioned which economy policy types Furman was reaching out to - Rubin, Summers, Stiglitz, Jared Bernstein, and Jamie Gailbraith. The first two are of course the high priests of DLC centrism, albeit of a pretty competent sort. However, the other three are all decidedly to the left and have routinely engaged in full frontal attacks on the economic consensus. The first group was inevitable, the second not so much. But that's still a pretty thin reed, I've not seen any indication that Obama is inclined to try to really sharply change things on economic policy - whether that's due to his own beliefs or his assessment of the political realities is unknown.
by MarekNYC on Thu Jun 12th, 2008 at 03:29:29 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I have met Jamie Galbraith and have read virtually everything written by J Kenneth Galbraith.  JKG was guy who introduced me to Veblen and was responsible for starting the historic preservation effort on the Veblen homestead.

Now you may consider these men lefties, but the truth is that JKG was one of the founders of Americans for Democratic Action--a group who sponsored a movement dedicated to combating the extremism of the American Marxists.  He wrote for Fortune Magazine and was personally hired by Luce himself.  He taught at Harvard for most of his career.

Now in the USA of final days W, such folks could be considered leftists.  But by ANY reasonable definition, they are relentless centrists.

"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"

by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Thu Jun 12th, 2008 at 03:41:47 PM EST
[ Parent ]
just curious, what do you consider the SPD and the PS - raging right wingers?  JKG was a standard issue left wing Democrat in the fifties and sixties - i.e. to the left of the current mainstream European left. Stiglitz, Jamie Gailbraith, and Jared Bernstein would be on the left wing of any European leftist party today except Die Linke (and their economic views would fit in fine there). By your definitionat best ten percent of the continental Western European populations support 'leftist' policies. And yes, JKG didn't like dictatorships or full fledged state owned planned economies (ADA was a group of left wingers who opposed American communists) - is that really your definition of true leftism? That's not what I'd call anything near a 'reasonable' definition
by MarekNYC on Thu Jun 12th, 2008 at 08:09:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Keynes himself was a centrist.  He managed investments for Cambridge, and speculated in currencies.  When Alvin Hanson started teaching Keynes at the University of Minnesota, the Farmer-Labor Party stalwarts like my grandfather thought him a sell-out.  (He was.  Keynes would not come to agree with the Farmer-Labor Party until towards the end of his life.)

You are probably young.  But here's a factiod you should never forget.  Tricky Dick Nixon was a Keynesian.  He believed in wage-price controls. He proposed a minimum income scheme.  He gave us regulatory agencies like EPA and OSHA.

I am old enough to remember when Republicans elected to high office were economically FAR to the left of say a Bill Clinton or a Tony Blair.  Now YOU may have moved so far to the right that JKG was a "standard issue left wing Democrat" but I certainly have not.

I would also suggest you re-examine some of you economic ideas.  Folks who have ideas like yours have horribly mismanaged the economy.  We can have $515 trillion in utterly worthless derivatives, but the heavens would fall if we spent $2 trillion per year on projects that are necessary to the survival of humanity?  And then you show up on my comment thread to give me cheap lessons on how markets are supposed to work in applications that are, at best, irrelevant, or who the hell is a left-winger.

You seem like a bright guy.  If you actually grow up, you might some day have something remotely interesting to say.  You are not interesting--I can hear the tripe you spout 24/7 on any number of cable channels.  And folks like you have created multiple catastrophes.  Perhaps, just perhaps, you guys are just plain wrong!

This will be the last time I debate with you.  I have no time for people who think they are clever because they can debate definitions.  I thought that shit was boring when I was on the Jr. High debate team.  Whether you think JKG was a leftist and I think he was a centrist doesn't change one damn word of what he wrote.  But you debate definitions all you want with whomever finds this interesting--I have historical evidence on my side.  And on this turf you may be entitled to your own opinions, but not to your own facts.


"Remember the I35W bridge--who needs terrorists when there are Republicans"

by techno (reply@elegant-technology.com) on Thu Jun 12th, 2008 at 11:22:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not old enough to remember those Republicans, but that was sort of my point. As yoou point out the spectrum has moved sharply right on economic policy, yet back before it did, Gailbraith was a mainstream liberal Democrat on economic policy - i.e. a mainstream leftist in a much more left wing environment.  As far as the three you are calling centrists, again, read some of their stuff - their views are standard issue for the left wing of left wing continental European parties today. Of course they are also way to the right of the official doctrine of pre WWII socialist parties. But for the present day, your definition makes no sense. Lets take Germany. If we follow you the left wing of Die Linke is left, the right wing of Die Linke, the left wing of The Greens, and the left wing of the SPD are centrist, and everybody else is right wing. By 1960's definitions that's true, but so what? I also would find it silly to use todays definitions and  call Ludwig Erhard a member of the German right or Ed Heath of the British right or to call Brandt right wing because he was far to the right of the Weimar era SPD (in theory at least, in practice it was a different story - what would you call someone like Hilferding).

And FWIW I'm pretty damn sure I have a much better idea of at least European policy positions and debates in the fifties, sixties, and seventies than you do (reading every goddamn issue of Spiegel and Die Zeit, plus a random fifth of the FAZ issues from 1945-1975 sort of helps with that. I'm also pretty sure I have a better idea of how the planned economies of Eastern Europe worked - lots of books, and hundreds of thousands of pages of archival documents give me a certain insight). I have far less knowledge of America in that period, but easily enough to know the sort of basic stuff about Nixon's economic policies.

On the other thread for some reason you troll rated me for disputing the idea that regardless of whether the price of diesel is two Euros/l or 20 there would be no difference in the total vehicle miles of freight trucks and for suggesting that labour costs had a good deal to do with the shift of the textile industry to low wage countries.  

As for what my ideas are and their impact, I'm not quite sure how the notion that we should have an economic system like Germany in the sixties and seventies - (i.e. a little bit to the left of America in the sixties) led to this disaster. Perhaps you might care to elucidate. Or perhaps not, that's your perogative, just as it is mine to make what comments I wish. It is not your right, however, to troll rate what you disagree with.

by MarekNYC on Fri Jun 13th, 2008 at 01:35:57 AM EST
[ Parent ]
As far as the three you are calling centrists, again, read some of their stuff - their views are standard issue for the left wing of left wing continental European parties today.

Marek, there's no contradiction there. Even Europe has moved so far to the right it's scary. It also means that at least some of the "left wing of left wing" are not as out to lunch as they are made to appear.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Jun 13th, 2008 at 03:33:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The change has been entirely political. It's about attitudes, not economics. The pre-Carter attitude was that the working classes had a certain inherent dignity and deserved a seat at the table.

The post-Reagan consensus was that the working classes - and that includes white collar working classes, who would usually think of themselves as middle class - were only worthy of abuse and contempt.

The two remaining political positions in the US is the far right fuck-em-all position, which glories in the abuse and contempt. And the less far right throw-them-a-bone position which accepts that some strategic concessions may be necessary, as long as they're kept to a minimum.

The idea that workers have an equal place both in democracy and in the economy has been eradicated.

This isn't an arguument about economic theory, but about enlightenment vs aristocracy. The enlightenment view of the inherent equality of all individuals is considered a quaint piece of history by the US political classes, and not a living principle.

So - it's unlikely that policy will change until this point of view is changed. Rational forward planning can't happen as long as there's more interest in abusing and taming the majority of the population than in creating a culture in which it's possible for everyone to flourish.

Perversely, for the aristocrats, destruction of the environment is a valid end in itself, because it's one of the way they can demonstrate their specialness.

by ThatBritGuy (thatbritguy (at) googlemail.com) on Thu Jul 10th, 2008 at 11:52:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Quite a lot of the enlightenment thinkers, at least the French ones, would pretty much agree with the current aristocracy that the workers don't deserve much...

Un roi sans divertissement est un homme plein de misères
by linca (antonin POINT lucas AROBASE gmail.com) on Thu Jul 10th, 2008 at 12:49:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Too much personal attack in that, IMHO.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Fri Jun 13th, 2008 at 03:35:27 AM EST
[ Parent ]
There is, but we all have to let off steam sometimes.

Great rant, I reckon.

The discussion is absolutely reminiscent (not surprising bearing in mind the Minnesota background) of how in Norway even the Conservatives are on the "Left".

It's only the Progress party (who get about 20% of the vote and are frozen out by all the other parties) who are identifiably on the Right, and even then only in some of their positions (eg immigration and taxation).

Keep on rockin' techno: you're one of my heroes!

"The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson

by ChrisCook (cojockathotmaildotcom) on Fri Jun 13th, 2008 at 08:51:52 AM EST
[ Parent ]
And then you show up on my comment thread

This is a repeated misapprehension around here: You do not own the comment threads under your diaries. They belong to everyone here.
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri Jun 13th, 2008 at 03:52:07 AM EST
[ Parent ]
We can have $515 trillion in utterly worthless derivatives, but the heavens would fall if we spent $2 trillion per year on projects that are necessary to the survival of humanity

I think -- without having given a great deal of thought to the subject ;-) -- the difference is between a Closed and Open analytical/praxiological environment.  Derivatives are Closed under CAPM as they 'fall-out' of well understood mathematical constructs¹ developed within a generally accepted intellectual stance².  Public spending for the Public Good is Open in that fundamental questions, e.g., what is the Public Good, are uncertain, dependent on the interpreter, and controversial.  Another way to look at the difference: Closed allows one to pretend to be 100% objective while Open, by its nature, precludes that pretense.  

¹ How congruent these constructs are to Reality is another topic!

² How congruent the generally accepted intellectual stance is to Reality is another topic!  ;-)

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Fri Jun 13th, 2008 at 11:38:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
I was thinking of your comments in another thread on the shift in the Overton Window while looking at some of this earlier.  That is one of the most serious problems we currently have, IMHO, as it makes any significant attempt to address our current problems easy to characterize as being "extreme left wing crazyness."  Wasn't it Nixon who said "We are all Keynsians now?"  

"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by ARGeezer (ARGeezer a in a circle eurotrib daught com) on Fri Jun 13th, 2008 at 01:59:08 PM EST
[ Parent ]


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