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I thought already in dodo's Euro 2008 knockout stage we have made our forecasts. However, of course with partially the wrong teams.

Germany - Turkey
Russia  - Spain

The first should be rather clear. Turkey has big problems with both injured and barred players. Additionally already in the  past games, they were lucky. Therefore Germany will win.
I think Loew will stick to the 4-2-3-1 system, but as a 4-4-2 should work, too, I would suggest to switch, if Turkey should make the first goal. One might think about taking Borowski on the right side instead of Fritz compared to the Portugal game, which might be a little bit more offensive variant.

I have not seen any game Russia completely so far. But others told me, they were quite impressed. In any case it won't be 4-1 again as in the group phase. Spain was already very nervous against Italy. I guess the two a bit similar teams will neutralise each other this time, and we are going to see another penalty shoot-out. In this case I think the Spanish team has the better nerves and will win the game.

Der Amerikaner ist die Orchidee unter den Menschen
Volker Pispers

by Martin (weiser.mensch(at)googlemail.com) on Mon Jun 23rd, 2008 at 04:05:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Well, be forewarned: during the 1994 World Cup, when the German team saw that their quarterfinals opponents 'prepare' for the match by going to a bar, they thought it'll be an easyí win on superior condition - but Bulgaria won 2-1....

Oliver Bierhoff at least warned the team to not dismiss even this decimated Turkish team and play concentrated until the end, he even told that an eventual loss to such a Turkish team should not be considered a blamage. SPIEGEL also has a nice op-ed.

Still, I too exect a victory for Germany, even if I'll be rooting for the comeback kids.

But others told me, they were quite impressed.

Yes. Based on what I saw last time, Russia with self-confidence now regained and Arshavin playing should roll over Spain, not cancel each other out.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Tue Jun 24th, 2008 at 05:36:01 AM EST
[ Parent ]
You're not taking into account the self-confidence boost Spain have received from beating Italy, winning a penalty shootout and making it past the quarter-finals. Plus, they have casillas.

When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Tue Jun 24th, 2008 at 05:39:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Also, there is increasingly some bad air in the German team. Ballack vs Gomez vs VfB Stuttgart, critique on Podolski, Löw's conflicts with DFB. Stupid thing that all of this is allowed to come up now.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Tue Jun 24th, 2008 at 05:41:55 AM EST
[ Parent ]

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