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For the trillion barrels of shale oil you'd have to talk about ERoEI, but maybe you can avoid getting technical and just point out that extracting oil out of shale is so hard Total was planning on building dedicated nuclear reactors to power its Canadian tar sands operations.
And so on. When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
One question about shale oil, - doesn't it require more energy to remove and process it than it supplies?
thanks again
The Oil Drum has a recent (April 15, 2008) post - probably one of many - on Tar Sands ERoEI, with the following table:
you are the media you consume.
He really is a revolting toad of a man, isn't he?
Anyway - it's interesting to read the comments. Good ole patriotic Americans are convinced that Congress is getting between them and their gas, and that all they have to do is drill! drill! drill! and everything can go back to normal.
It's depressing - really, truly, deeply, depressing - how few people seem to be able to do the conceptual equivalent of basic arithmetic when it comes to issues like these.
Conservatives, as you know, thrive is environments where the electorate is ignorant and lazy. But people don't seem to be ignorant and lazy right now, for whatever reason, the way they were prior to about 2005. I'm not saying it'll continue, of course, since one should never underestimate America's capacity for rationalization. But, for now, it looks like the message is getting across. Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
Conservatives, as you know, thrive is environments where the electorate is ignorant and lazy. But people don't seem to be ignorant and lazy right now, for whatever reason, the way they were prior to about 2005.
New Orleans was a big learning experience which will take a long time to forget. Of course the lesson of that course is that Republicans don't give a shit about people. Hey, Grandma Moses started late!
There is almost no oil left. Should you:
[1] Not literally, obviously, now that it's too late for that.
High gas prices weigh heaviest on rural U.S. (June 9, 2008)
Gasoline prices reached a national average of $4 a gallon for the first time over the weekend, adding more strain to motorists across the country. But the pain is not being felt uniformly. Across broad swaths of the South, Southwest and the upper Great Plains, the combination of low incomes, high gas prices and heavy dependence on pickup trucks and vans is putting an even tighter squeeze on family budgets. Here in the Mississippi Delta, some farm workers are borrowing money from their bosses so they can fill their tanks and get to work. Some are switching jobs for shorter commutes.
But the pain is not being felt uniformly. Across broad swaths of the South, Southwest and the upper Great Plains, the combination of low incomes, high gas prices and heavy dependence on pickup trucks and vans is putting an even tighter squeeze on family budgets.
Here in the Mississippi Delta, some farm workers are borrowing money from their bosses so they can fill their tanks and get to work. Some are switching jobs for shorter commutes.
Not "we need to get out of oil dependency together" but "those effette latte liberals from big cities are screwing us". When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
If 20-30% of them could be peeled off it could change the dynamics of many contests. In the end, their identity baggage would be no worse than that of any of the other ethnic groups that traditionally support Democrats. Not all populist appeals need be evil. IMHO it is worth a try. The bigger the tent, the less influence any individual constituent has. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
The American population, along with the Scots-Irish, need to be brought to the understanding that continual, blind support of Big Oil's agenda will only drag the entire nation down a giant dry hole. They need to see that continuing to bail out Wall Street will do the same. It could well be that no amount of money will save them from their folly. It is a classic case of throwing good money after bad and the cure being worse than the disease. Let those who created the mess pay instead of transferring the cost to the victims.
Get out of Iraq. It may well be that the only way stability can return to Iraq before the USA goes broke is via an Iraqi strongman who will do things that we can't do, despite Bush's best effort at playing fascist thug. I don't favor sudden and complete withdrawal, but we must abandon the idea of permanent bases and quickly withdraw most, if not all of the troops. Should Europe be able to broker an agreement with Turkey that would enable a de facto partition, that might be the best resolution. And we must take proper care of wounded and damaged veterans numbering well over 200,000, if you include TBI and PTSD.
Taken together, such policies may well attract more than 30% of the "Scots-Irish vote." And it is not just simple minded demographics. Most people in the South are of a variety of backgrounds. I count English, Welch, Scots-Irish, an Ulster woman great grandmother, Cherokee, and probably Dutch. Others include French, and German. But the cultural atmosphere has been strongly influenced by the Scots-Irish. It might be better termed "The Redneck Nation," as Cockneys and Nories who were transported en lieu of execution readily acquired red necks doing field work in the south, while many others, such as myself, take a tan just fine, due to American Indian heritage.
Thanks for responding. I was beginning to wonder if some, not necessarily yourself, would rather see Obama win without redneck support than with it. While I agree that the most important thing is that he win, I think it would be very short sighted to write off this group. The larger the majority, the greater independence a party has from the demands of any one group. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
I propose precisely the policies that ET has proposed. Don't jump to false conclusions. We need wind power where ever it is cost effective. We need to give up on the idea that we can drill our way out of this problem, despite the fact that so many of these people have populated the oil patch. Their children need better access to education, along with blacks, Native Americans and Hispanics. We need massive investment in re-making our infrastructure to a low carbon model.
The population of the county has a strong gender bias (100:80 female-to-male ratio above age 18: 20% of the men have left to work elesewhere) and a large african-american population (70%). 12% of households are elderly people living alone.
Do most people commute to nearby (77 miles) Montgomery to work? What do people grow on those farms? Do they own the farms? Can the county be food-selfsufficient? How would you reorganize the economy of the county to be less dependent on oil? Can the farmers grow their own biodiesel for their farm machines and rely on a (new) network of buses for transportation? And so on. When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
What to do for them? These folks would be obvious recipients for aid derived from energy taxes, as proposed by Jerome, or for more indirect taxes such as windfall taxes on energy companies. Several things would help: low cost financing to enable purchase of motor scooters, bicycles and adult tricycles for rural families, (this is the same density as during the 19th and the first half of the 20th centuries when the transportation was by mule), money for road maintenance and improvement, (a lot of dirt and gravel roads in these areas, as in Arkansas), some kind of financial subsidy for recreating commons on which rural folk could run a couple of head of livestock, a system of worker's hostels in areas where work is available and attention by law enforcement to see that they are not routinely shaken down by thugs, especially in centers of work, would be desirable.
A plug-in hybrid or two used as rural taxies and paid for out of County Social Services budgets and employing locals as drivers at minimum wage would help, especially for medical appointments. A lot of this type of poverty is straight out of Michael Harrington's The Other America, 1963.
I doubt that Wilcox County, Alabama is a significant retirement destination, as is northern Arkansas. Most of the able bodied who are willing to work have moved away, although they may return when down on their luck.
Jesus reputedly said "the poor you shall always have with you." Between the Catholic Church's position on contraception and Neo-Classical Economics we seem to be insuring that we don't make that a false statement. And that was during a time when solutions seemed more readily available. No good answers for many of "the least of these." "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
The Scots-Irish are mainly in Appalachia and the midlands in the South. Seems to be a mixed bag there. Big cities look okay. Rural areas are in trouble.
The lower South, which I believe is more English than Scots-Irish, seems to be the part getting hit.
Really, it's just the inland rural areas that don't really have much going on economically. Bad jobs, low incomes, car-dependent. Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
I was born in Texas, grew up in Oklahoma, lived in Arizona and California and retired to Arkansas. My ancestors came through Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, Indiana, Missouri, Arkansas, Kansas, Indian Territory,(AKA Oklahoma), and Texas. I know my own. Many are ripe for the taking. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
The median income by county has a range from $17k to $98k? Now that is fucked up.
Then again, the EU is equally fucked up: the distribution of GDP/head by region ranges from <15% of EU average to >125% which is a range of at least x8. But we don't pretend to be a single country. When the capital development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done. — John M. Keynes
Then again, the EU is equally fucked up: the distribution of GDP/head by region ranges from <15% of EU average to >125% which is a range of at least x8. But we don't pretend to be a single country.
Sure, but the new member states are catching up rather quickly! I was in Poland last week and I saw the change from two years ago. And the numbers confirm:
Poland: Inflation and wage growth ease a bit
The Polish Statistical Office has published consumer price inflation (CPI) and wage growth numbers for inflation for March. Polish inflation eased to 4.1% y/y in March from 4.2% y/y. This was a bit lower than the consensus expectation and our expectation of 4.2% y/y. Wage growth eased to 10.2% y/y from 12.8%y/y below our expectation of 10.8% y/y and the consensus expectation of 11.1%. Similarly, employment growth surprised a bit on the low side, growing 5.8% y/y a bit below our expectation and the consensus expectation of 5.9% y/y.
Now Obama says:
I'll make oil companies like Exxon pay a tax on their windfall profits, and we'll use the money to help families pay for their skyrocketing energy costs and other bills.
He will be accused of pandering to American on the bottom of the economic ladder. But the truth is, there are many who are truly hurting under the energy prices. And except for the a payroll-carbon tax swap which I mentioned in that previous comment, I have yet to hear of any other constructive progressive response to this pressing issue. ... all progress depends on the unreasonable mensch.(apologies to G.B. Shaw)
Now Obama says
He's been saying that for months. Part of the revenue goes into green energy infrastructure, part pays for his lower-end tax cut on income. (Let's call it what it is, though: a back-door gas tax hike. It's the right strategy, but he needs to balance it with ways of helping working people.) Remember the fight over the gas-tax holiday? I don't think the press is going to hit him for pandering, because the press backed him up against Hillary and McCain on the tax cut, and he seems to have actually won some respect among the reporters for it. In fact, the press seems to be covering Obama ripping into McCain on the economy. He's done a great job of seizing the narrative as the general election gets revved up. Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
I'm always saying that we should tax oil consumption and use the money to directly compensate the poorest - in ways not linked to their gas consumption.
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