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I saw a number 6 gigatons a year (a ton per person) a couple of year ago. Multiplying several percentages does not look reliable to me.

One question about modeling: how the errors are distributed? If errors are distributed evenly to "both" sides, however wide, there is something right in the models: they are approximations to the modeled phenomenona, though probably not of high order yet. If there is a persistent bias in the errors, the models are biased then.

Global warming will have abnormal effects, beyond what we conveniently assumed available for ages. Consider fish sex, for example.

by das monde on Thu Jul 31st, 2008 at 11:22:32 PM EST
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