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if the subsidies to areas of the East are not maintained you will see ongoing migration of the young and economically active out of those areas

That train has already left the station, I'm afraid. From the German Statistical Office:

Die Binnenwanderungen sind im vereinigten Deutschland vor allem durch eine beständige Abwanderung aus den neuen in die alten Bundesländer geprägt. Im gesamten Zeitraum von 1991 bis 2005 haben per Saldo 949 000 Einwohner die neuen Länder in Richtung früheres Bundesgebiet verlassen (Nettoabwanderung). [...]In unified Germany, internal migrations have been characterized primarily by continuing emigration from the new to the old federal states [i.e. from east to west -ed.]. In the entire period from 1991 to 2005, a net total of 949,000 inhabitants left the new states to move to the territory of former West Germany. [...]
Für die künftige Entwicklung wird angenommen, dass sich die Ost-West-Wanderung abschwächen wird: Die Nettoabwanderung aus den neuen in die alten Länder wird demnach von rund 49 000 im Jahr 2005 auf ca. 8 000 im Jahr 2020 zurückgehen. Hierfür spricht die Tatsache, dass die junge Bevölkerung, die besonders mobil ist, in den neuen Ländern zahlenmäßig stark abnehmen und somit das Abwanderungspotenzial reduziert wird.With regard to future development, it is assumed that east-west migration will drop off: Net emigration from the new to the old federal states will thus decline from 49,000 per year in 2005 to approx. 8,000 in 2020. This is supported by the fact that the young populations, which is particularly mobile, will decline drastically in the new states, thus reducing the emigration potential.

(as pdf here)

In terms of developmental policy, Germany is rapidly reaching the point where East vs. West is no longer a useful distinction.

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman

by dvx (dvx.clt št gmail dotcom) on Wed Aug 13th, 2008 at 07:25:55 AM EST
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