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The only issue with that is that it runs the risk of putting Obama on defense consistently.  It's a problem Dems always get themselves into: They play to not lose, rather than play to win.  You've got to play to win.  Democrats generally want to fight on the issues, but that's not how elections are fought and won because of the fact that the other side wants to fight on distractions.

Like I said, I think Obama's got the right idea so far.  Make it about issues by tying it to the personal stuff.  The Yucca Mountain ad is a good example.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 03:36:09 PM EST
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You can make a mistake playing defense as easily as you can playing offense.  All I'm saying is that Obama has the fundamentals to win at the moment (my a smallish margin) whereas McCain hasn't, and its hard to see why that should change, and its seems as likely that the gap will widen further as that it might narrow.  By all means go on the offense - see what works for you in the polls.  Just don't take the big risks that McCain must now do to try and change the fundamentals.

Am I right in thinking that the Celeb ad has backfired spectacularly because of Hilton's response?  McCain can't afford too many more own goals or he will start slipping out of sight.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 04:09:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Not really, in re: Hilton.  McCain's still doing the celebrity ads.  But they may backfire, because he ran them during the opening ceremony of the Olympics, which is pretty tasteless (since the Olympics are supposed to be a time when people come together).  It's very tone deaf.

Honestly, I don't think the celeb ads damaged Obama anyway.  They had a brief shock value, but that was it, and the fact that McCain's running those while Obama runs local-issue ads on a state-by-state basis (Yucca Mountain in Nevada, DHL in Ohio, etc) might allow Obama to build on his lead below the radar.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 04:18:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Must have cost a lot of money to run them prime time.  Its hard to see how that sort of ad can build a campaign in the medium term.  Also its too early in the campaign to run them because Obama has loads of time to refute and refine by working hard on the ground and puting out substantive proposals on substantive issues - and then contrasting with the vacuous McCain capaign.

If that's the worst charge McCain can come up with - that Obama is a celebrity - then he must be close to the end of his ammunition.

It would be quite easy to paint McCain as a cranky old curmudgeon now.  Maybe steal a few scenes from grumpy old men...

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 04:31:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
He's painting himself as a grumpy old man.  Obama hasn't had to lift a finger.

Although, note that the tradmed wiped out all Paris Hilton's references to McCain being old when they ran her response on television.  The covering-up for McCain is just shameful at this point.  And the fact that John Edwards is getting blasted for his affair, while no one talks about what a piece of shit McCain was to his first wife before divorcing her and marrying the Crypt Keeper, says quite a lot on the IOKIYAR front.

Anyway, yeah, McCain's spending about $6m on his Olympics ads.  But they're nationwide ads, being seen in places like Chicago (where he's guaranteed to lose) and Utah (where he's guaranteed to win).

McCain has no real charges to level against Obama.  If he did, Hillary would've found them and used them during the primaries, since I assure you her oppo team was much better than his.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.

by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 04:51:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]
seems there is quite a lot of swift boat material on McCain.  How many planes did he crash without any help from the Viet Cong?  Why did he not make Admiral - he came from the Naval ELITE after all?

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."
by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 04:58:26 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There's plenty, but it'd be almost impossible to use all that Vietnam-related stuff, because his sluts in the press would immediately rush to protect him.

Be nice to America. Or we'll bring democracy to your country.
by Drew J Jones (pedobear@pennstatefootball.com) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 05:07:11 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Yea - but the right time to use it - by some Obama independent body - is a week before the election - or when there is a need to distract attention away from some difficulty Obama is having.

The fact that the GOP are firing these shots now is a sign of how desperate they are to try and stay in contention.  The attempted slur on Obama will be forgotten by November, and in the meantime McCain looses the respect of independents who don't like negative campaigning.

"It's a mystery to me - the game commences, For the usual fee - plus expenses, Confidential information - it's in my diary..."

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Sun Aug 10th, 2008 at 05:56:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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