Welcome to European Tribune. It's gone a bit quiet around here these days, but it's still going.
Polling:  again I say, pollsters base their polling screens on historic data.  If there is historic turn-out patterns in this election then the race is tight.  If this is a 'change' election then the polls are going to be seriously wrong.  I don't know which of those two IF statements are correct; nobody else does either.  We will find-out in November.  

One thing to note: Bush won in 04 by the Fundie turn-out.  They turned-out in record number for vote for Idiot.  If they had turned-out in 2000 numbers Kerry would have won by 9 million votes.  

Economy:  I agree.  Obama is nowhere near Left enough for my tastes.  But he is to the Left of McCain.  You know more about the internal politics of the UAW than I so you tell me if they would rather see McCain than Obama.  

Kilpatrick:  Do you honestly expect AA turn-out in Detroit to be down for the first AA to have a shot at the presidency?  That's just crazy.

Nader:  He should be included in the polls exactly because of his (latent?) potential impact on the Arab-American voting block.  

She believed in nothing; only her skepticism kept her from being an atheist. -- Jean-Paul Sartre

by ATinNM on Fri Aug 8th, 2008 at 02:40:59 PM EST
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