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I don't think NATO is going to step in. For one, how would they? It's very inaccessible territory (and very accessible for the Russians). There is also the matter of Georgia apparently being the party that has chosen to escalate the conflict, by opening a large scale offensive and shelling a city.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Fri Aug 8th, 2008 at 11:05:12 AM EST
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Depends on how the media coverage washes out. If the Georgians manage to paint this as poor little Georgia against the resurgent Russian bear things could get very stupid ... and there's a US Presidential election on where at least some people think war is good for Republicans ...
by Colman (colman at eurotrib.com) on Fri Aug 8th, 2008 at 11:07:25 AM EST
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I think the U.S. does not have the option to step in. Russia can probably overrun Georgia in a matter of days, if it chooses. The U.S. can only get there by air, or through north-east Turkey. Turkey could probably get its military in quickly, but I don't see them doing that.

The media imagery will also depend on Russia's actions. I hope they constrain themselves to South Ossetia.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Fri Aug 8th, 2008 at 11:19:57 AM EST
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