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On your second point, realclearpolitics has Obama ahead by 2%, and Democrats ahead by 6% in the congressional polls - not much of a difference given that McCain still benefits from some independent support because of his "maverick" image and war record. Given how damaged the Republican brand is, that's an extraordinarily bad performance by the Dems and shows that race isn't maybe as big a factor as we might think. In fact the congressional job approval (21% approve, 71%disapprove) is even worse than President Bush's (32% approve, 65% disapprove).
People don't see the Dem Congress majority as having made a difference or have to have given effective leadership. People think the country is moving in the wrong direction by 75% to 20% and that has gotten steadily worse despite the Dems getting a majority in 2006.
The DEMs are still just opposing the extremes of neo-conservatism without projecting a radically different ideology of their own. Vote McCain for war without gain
the retaking of congress was symbolic more than effective. it is still hamstrung, no matter which side of the coin is showing. americans are right to be critical of congress dems for being spineless, but the numbers being lower than bush's is a red herring, imo.
they both suck, and the public know it, they're tired of right-centre-right, and are being offered extreme right or centrist, hope-for-change.
obama's done fantastically, given the givens, yet he hasn't convinced the white poor south that letting the country go even further right will possibly lead to species survival at stake, because he doesn't want to be seen as scary, or carter-malaise-y. sadly they see an elitist, uppity liberal intellectual who doesn't get that life without god'n'guns is for commie pussie fags.
his persona of stern-earnest alternating with breezy banter is is welcome, he has some amazing cards in his hand, and i think speaks to the young voters, still innocent of how politics is executed, like no-one since kennedy.
i'm praying hard that they a: vote him in, b: that he can run a presidency as well or better than his campaign.
this election matters for world race relations, but even more, for raising the thoughtfulness of international dialogue in these rocky times.
have fun at the meetup! 'The history of public debt is full of irony. It rarely follows our ideas of order and justice.' Thomas Piketty
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