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You can find the greatest detail about all the questions at AWEA's 20% by2030 website.

Under the Report tab, each chapter is a separate .pdf.  This report, released in Q1 or Q2 2008 is damn authoritative, and includes sections on manufacturing capacity and transmission needs in detail.

While i can find points of disagreement, as a policy foundation document this is top shelf.

I've got a plate full today, but windpower capacity growth globally has been nearly 25% a year, 20% minus China which is wild and not yet mature.  All of the majors and 2nd tier manufacturers have made significant CapEx, and have experience establishing new manufacturing plant.  Nordex was able to expand 50% last year with no quality penalty.

The short answer is that a coherent long-term policy allows well-planned CapEx, with very significant annual expansion.   The raw materials are there as well, from steel and concrete to carbon fiber, as documented in the report.  Slowdown in shipbuilding will help the industry greatly, as currently heavy S. Korean forges are already producing the major castings for multi-megawatt turbines.

It's a global expansion, and it's beautiful to watch (and influence.)

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Ana´s Nin

by Crazy Horse on Thu Jan 22nd, 2009 at 03:41:36 AM EST
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