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The underlying strategy of AWEA and the large companies who control it is, kindly, conservative.  the basis of the report and summary were written before the extent of the bubble bursting was known.  It was also written during a period of distance from reality known as the Bush admin.

Everything has been couched in pro-market language, so as not to upset the holy warriors, who often come from the very conservative utility industries.  Actually, your question is another example of how broken the system is, in amurka.

When i read a draft of the report in 11/2007, i asked the lead, Ed DeMeo, why the capacity numbers slacked off in the later years.  He said because they had to keep within certain Bush DoE "guidelines."  I asked why didn't they then focus on using the increased capacity to sell the idea of export, competing with the Danes and Germans.  He thought it was brilliant, but you don't see it in the final report.

nb41's critique of the lack of a Feed-In Tariff is on the mark, but we're talking about amurka.  He wonders why Paul Gipe doesn't get respect, well, Paul is not serious because he doesn't run a big utility.  (I've taken Paul's place at AWEA Board meetings in the past.)   That Paul shone light on poor turbine performance did not help him either, and i suppose at times i could also be tarred by that brush.

I haven't seen the 8500 MW number for 2008 installations in the US nb41 cites, but if it's real, i believe it's a very strong performance.  the dramatic doubling in 2007 was based on some one of a kind conditions, so 60+% increase is fine to me.  More important is the longer term growth support.

getting back to your original question, i agree, so let's just say that DoE policy in Obama land should be 27% by September 16, 2021.

"Life shrinks or expands in proportion to one's courage." - Ana´s Nin

by Crazy Horse on Thu Jan 22nd, 2009 at 02:49:39 PM EST
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