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Well, the story on that report is different that you and me both expected! It seems (press archives sais so) that it was not a scientific report, but a journalist report made by Gandul that, it seems, was a bit of a press scandal in 2007.

In the 30th aniversary of the earthquake, on March 4th 1977, an earthquake simulacre" (not simulation) was made in Bucharest streets by General Inspectorate for Emergency Situation (IGSU). It did show, it seems, failures in the reaction protocal in case of hazards. At the same time, "Gandul" published that frightening article, that was afterwards to be rejected as "alarmist" and "Holiwood-like". Thats why all the news on that report you find say "the experts" from a "public research centre". That should be, maybe, the National Centre for Seismic Risk reduction, supported by JICA, but couldn't find scientific reports published on the web. http://cnrrs.utcb.ro/)

As you asked the report in Romanian, I send you the link of a 2007 news form a different newspaper than Gandul where they show their disconformity with the alarmism of the "Gandul earthquake".

http://www.ultima-ora.ro/archive.php?action=toDetail&article_id=238

I can't advise you who to believe to, sincerely. I wasn't in Bucharest in 2007, so I can't tell you the reality of the scandal. And while I did some reading on this issue, I did find some papers on earthquake simulation, but from the point of view of the natural phenomenun, and other reports on risk perception by population. I haven't found a scientific report on consequences for buildings and civil population for us to have "non-journalistic" data. They may exist, of course...


"If you don't want a man unhappy politically, don't give him two sides to a question to worry him; give him one. Better yet, give him none." (Fahrenheit 451)

by pereulok on Mon Jan 26th, 2009 at 12:19:30 PM EST
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If I read my Google translate right, the article you link mentions Gandul's likely source: a report that says that 450,000 people are endangered, by living in pre-1977 buildings; but that report estimated the number of actual dead at 'only' 6,500.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Jan 26th, 2009 at 01:32:56 PM EST
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Yeah, you're right. 450.000 would be sleeping in endangered buildings. The Gandul kills them all. The INCERC experts estimates how many are killed... God knows how. I won't be able to find that report on the web, INCERC is a low digitalised institute, let's say. However, I do know people working there, so if I get the chance I'll ask them about this...

"If you don't want a man unhappy politically, don't give him two sides to a question to worry him; give him one. Better yet, give him none." (Fahrenheit 451)
by pereulok on Mon Jan 26th, 2009 at 01:40:52 PM EST
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