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... and modern Russia ... authoritarian strong man governments with local barons behind the scenes putting limits on the reach of the strong man's authority seems to persist through some of the biggest political disruptions imaginable.

Its reasonable to presume that the less dystopian scenarios will involve a rise of regional blocs, since that's what's tended to happen before. It is, after all, not the first time in the world-system that a wave of globalization under the cover of a capitalist hegemony has come to an end, and it seems to be more or less variations on a theme.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.

by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Jan 12th, 2009 at 04:07:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... but not all the strongmen and barons do. And it seems hard to predict which strongmen and barons will come out ahead. Lots of randomness in revolutions, and it's a lot easier to cut a guy's head off than it is to reattach it...

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Jan 12th, 2009 at 04:12:45 PM EST
[ Parent ]
... there is almost 100% turnover in the incumbents in the roles and even when the role themselves have dramatically different names and supporting folkviews.


I've been accused of being a Marxist, yet while Harpo's my favourite, it's Groucho I'm always quoting. Odd, that.
by BruceMcF (agila61 at netscape dot net) on Mon Jan 12th, 2009 at 04:49:36 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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