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Fianna Fáil is the dominant conservative party in Ireland, if I correctly remember your diary on Irish political parties, so it is natural for them to want to insure the welfare of the bankers as their top priority. That must seem like the natural order of things to them. There is a natural hierarchy in society and bankers are at the top. Once it was: "The Land and the King are One!" If the king suffered, the whole country suffered. Now there is no king but there are bankers. So to heal the country you heal the bankers. This mythic frame is set forth in the movie Excalibur.
Well, things have gotten a little muddy since those pristine times. The Taoiseach, I guess, would have to pass for the king and his chief retainers are the bankers, rather than knights. But true conservatives would know that the government is actually the servant of the nation and that at the top of the national pyramid are the bankers and thus the needs of the bankers are paramount. And this time it is the retainers, (really the owners), that are stricken, but the principle is the same. The first order of business for the government is to save the bankers. "The Land and the Bankers are One." After all the bankers have mortgaged the land.
But do not the bankers receive the same kinds of generous bonuses in Ireland as in the US and UK? And do not their donations dominate the political process, as in the US? If not it must just be the magic of the myth, otherwise known as cognitive capture.
One other factor could be at play. Christopher Hill described how, during the English Civil War, it became obvious that Charles I was never going to act as the Puritan Parliament wished, but the Parliament could not bring themselves to move beyond the impasse. Hill suggested that they had a "mindstop" that prevented them from deposing and executing the King. Perhaps a similar "mindstop" is preventing the necessary actions against the bankers in Ireland, the UK and the USA. "It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
The Dublin professional classes had become very wealthy in the boom. And the extraordinary thing about all this was that, in the main, they didn't take any risks. They just worked hard, charged huge fees and, with both eyes firmly set on leafy suburbs, moved up the ladder. They had huge status and, in some cases, egos to match.In the meantime, the lads who had done pass maths in the Leaving Cert were also on the make, but they were in business and property. They were making even more money than the straight-A boys. They were buying and selling, wheeling and dealing and, most of all, flipping.They had seemed to be able to make money out of nothing, buying property and then selling the stuff on in a few months - making an enormous and seemingly effortless twist.The `stupid' lads, at least in the eyes of the straight-A students, were achieving far above their abilities - and it all seemed so easy.This is not what the system and the doting mothers had predicted. They, the professional class, should be on top - after all, hadn't they done honours Latin, Irish, French and maths - not to mention the sciences - for the Leaving Cert? The `stupid' lads just kept buying and selling, and now they had this new thing called leverage, which made the gains astronomical.So, around 2005, just as the market was peaking, the smart lads decided to get into the game. They were invited by the `stupid' lads they knew in school to get into what were termed `syndicates'. The less academic fellas were putting these things together all day, promising riches beyond their smart lads' wives dreams. They all knew each other, after all, so everything would be grand.Because the smart fellas had never taken a risk in their life, they had no idea how to access risk. They thought it was easy to become a Dermot Desmond.They thought that the type of calculations someone like him was doing on a minute byminute basis couldn't be that difficult, particularly as lads four streams below them in school could figure it out. And so, about four years ago, the complexion of the property market changed.It became a free-for-all for the lads who'd done well in their Leaving Cert, but wouldn't know how to `take their profits' in a month of Sundays.The people they used to look down on - the pass maths students - saw them coming and began to sell property syndicates to them, pretending that the clever lads were getting the deal of the decade.So the professional classes, having been told from their childhood onwards that they were geniuses, were too arrogant and hubristic to know they were being had. After all, why would they not think they were smarter than the lads who had sold them the deals? They were smarter, and they had the UCD parchment on their mammies' living-room wall to prove it.But, in truth, the smart boys knew nothing about commerce, and had just bought a pig in a poke. Then the crash happened, and the chill could be felt in the equity partner offices of our top law and accountancy firms. These guys are now bankrupt, with enormous cash calls being made to finance the syndicates that are now under water. The top barristers and bankers were equally hammered, because they didn't understand the rudiments of commerce. They thought it was easy. We are now left with the destruction of Dublin's - and other cities' - professional classes.
The joke is that a debt/equity swap is precisely what's needed - just not the conventional sort of equity the smart boys have in mind.
If NAMA were incorporated and used as a framework, rather than an organisation, then a solution is achievable that the pass maths boys could - and would - implement tomorrow...
...how does one get to the pass maths boys, Frank? "The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson
What's not to like about it from their perspective?
After all, stealing from the taxpayers is a lot easier than proving in a court of law that the guy who sold you a gamy promotion did something that is considered legally blameworthy.
- Jake Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.
Just ask the Chinese and Japanese how important 'face' is. "The future is already here -- it's just not very evenly distributed" William Gibson
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