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I suspect the consensus amongst European leaders would be to avoid someone as controversial as Blair on as independent as Robinson. The usual pattern for filling EU posts is to find someone harmless from, say, Luxembourg.
by Gary J on Wed Oct 21st, 2009 at 06:00:29 AM EST
Would you like to expand on that "harmless"?
by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Wed Oct 21st, 2009 at 06:09:22 AM EST
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The British government will certainly not see Juncker as 'harmless'.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Wed Oct 21st, 2009 at 06:13:57 AM EST
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Harmless in the sense of not controversial and unlikely to initiate anything unexpected. Someone who will facilitate what the member states want to do, but not pursue a distinctive or challenging agenda.
by Gary J on Wed Oct 21st, 2009 at 07:21:13 AM EST
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There is always the possibility that they will consider Mary as good for the optics but not really one of them (an ex-Prime Minister) and thus either not a real heavyweight who might pursue an independent agenda and pose a threat to theirs, or as too much of an unknown quantity.  

If they take the former view - that she is good for the optics but not a threat to their designs - they might very well appoint her - and might also be in for something of a surprise as she has a track record of pursuing a very principled line.

However he success as President of Ireland was not in breeching the very narrow limits of its real powers, but in popularising the office and greatly increasing popular engagement with it.  Thus if they want someone to reduce the "democratic deficit" and increase popular engagement with the EU, they could not do better.

The question of how effective the Council would be as a decision making body on contentious issues under her chairmanship is a different matter.  My view would be that her lack of ego, good listening skills, determination not to ignore the smaller players etc. would make her a very popular and effective chair though not necessarily very popular with the Major countries who might be looking for more of a puppet to do their bidding.

notes from no w here

by Frank Schnittger (mail Frankschnittger at hot male dotty communists) on Wed Oct 21st, 2009 at 01:33:22 PM EST
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