The European Tribune is a forum for thoughtful dialogue of European and international issues. You are invited to post comments and your own articles.
Please REGISTER to post.
It could be that self-censorship by involved scientists out of concern that inconclusive models or inconsistent data would be used against them is retarding the process. It has always been an asymmetrical contest. The scientists have no choice but to employ peer review and to adhere closely to fact based arguments. That process is sufficiently problematic as it is, as Kuhn has shown, and tends to err on the side of conserving current paradigms. And there are skeptics with solid scientific credentials.
The beneficiaries and backers of the skeptics side are existing business interests and their political allies. For them rhetoric and public perception is all, however obtained. The fear of the influence of the skeptics by the scientists, which, of course, was, in the USA, much more of a concern up until a year ago, as Bush 43's administration was both the ally of incumbent energy interests and had a tendentious view of "science", is much less of a problem just now. If the scientists' private e-mails had to come out, at least the timing is propitious.
It could be that this whole episode will lead to an increase in the rate of progress in climate research by opening up the field, much as when the USA declassified radar technology in the '50s. If key models are made more widely available to younger members of the community, as opposed to being closely held for fear of weaknesses being misused, the weaknesses may be more quickly remedied.
Meanwhile, it would help if someone of prominence did a public service by showing what happens when you put a thermocouple in a glass of ice water under a strong incandescent light and plot temperature vs. time. If the evidence is that the polar regions are melting, this involves a massive phase transition that is going to absorb heat not just from the sun but also from the atmosphere and, hence, the weather patterns. It makes sense that this could produce local and intermittent cooling in the mid-latitudes until the last of the ice is melted, if we get to that point. Thus the freezing weather for the baseball playoffs in Denver and the mild summers I have been experiencing in the Ozarks. We need to elevate the popular conception of global processes.
"It is not necessary to have hope in order to persevere."
by Frank Schnittger - May 17 15 comments
by gmoke - May 17
by Oui - May 15 18 comments
by IdiotSavant - May 15 1 comment
by Frank Schnittger - May 4 19 comments
by Oui - May 9 6 comments
by Frank Schnittger - May 5 16 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Apr 30 6 comments
by gmoke - May 17
by Frank Schnittger - May 1715 comments
by Oui - May 1518 comments
by IdiotSavant - May 151 comment
by Oui - May 101 comment
by Oui - May 96 comments
by Oui - May 75 comments
by Frank Schnittger - May 516 comments
by Frank Schnittger - May 419 comments
by Frank Schnittger - May 334 comments
by Oui - May 212 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Apr 3016 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Apr 306 comments
by Oui - Apr 289 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Apr 2849 comments
by Oui - Apr 271 comment
by Frank Schnittger - Apr 2512 comments
by Frank Schnittger - Apr 2257 comments
by Oui - Apr 207 comments