A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. | 220 comments (213 topical, 7 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 1)

he arbitrarily classifies 7 of the Serbian suspects as being related to Kosova

The classification needn't be arbitrary. In wikipedia's List of indictees of the International Criminal Tribunal for the former Yugoslavia each indictee is assigned an ethnic group and an incident.

One thing that Vladimir does wrong is compare Indictees to Convictions, implying that those not convicted have been acquitted. This is not the case. The proper comparison would be the ratio of convictions to acquittals/case-dismissals as there are a number of cases which are ongoing, have been transferred to national jurisdiction, were never concluded because the indictee died, or in which the indictee is at large. Vladimir posted the full stats
here (these do not distinguish between the different wars or regions, only ethnic groups):

Stats from ICTY (none / 0) Here they are

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 05:50:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 1)

The 7 didn't have a classification... it would have required hours of sifting through documents to find them.

by vladimir on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 05:55:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 1)

Then you can't ascribe them to Kosova, especially given that Kosova is the conflict with the smallest number of indictees and arbitrarily assigning 7 Serbs to it biases the data more than, say, assigning the 7 to Krajina or Republika Srpska.

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 05:58:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 1)

Another usegul comparison would be between indictees and population. Serbs were the largest ethnic group in the former Yugoslavia by a factor of nearly 2. See the table on Ethnic composition of Yugoslavia in 1981 in Wikipedia's Demographics of SFR Yugoslavia. A log-log regression of indictees vs. population might be appropriate in this case, too.

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 05:56:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

I've delved into their documents. I agree, it's an unorganized mess. A horror-show for scholars.

"It Can't Be Just About Us"
--Frank Schnittger, ETian Extraordinaire

by papicek (papi_cek_at_hotmail_dot_com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 05:59:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 1)

OK, then that's kosher.

The vanilla averages instead of weighted averages is still nonsense, though.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 05:58:38 AM EST
[ Parent ]

A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. | 220 comments (213 topical, 7 editorial, 0 hidden)

Top Diaries

Italian government collapse

The path to a united Ireland

U.S. Capitol Trump Insurrection - Act 2

Solar Decathlon Webinars

A Long War?

Israel and A Presidential Election

Coup Attempt in USA?

Covid-19 out of control in Ireland

Recent Diaries

A Rush To Judgement Day

Dutch Government Collapse

Solar Decathlon Webinars

Italian government collapse

Israel and A Presidential Election

The path to a united Ireland

U.S. Capitol Trump Insurrection - Act 2

Pence Lacked Courage, Succumbed Under Pressure

The Making of A Rebellion

A Long War?

Calls to Remove Trump

Covid-19 out of control in Ireland

Coup Attempt in USA?

Georgia on my mind (Part 2)

Georgia Turns Blue, Insurrection @Capitol

Born to rule

Blaming others for England's isolation [Update]

EU-China Strike Investment Deal

Acts of Patriots Not Domestic Terror

Zero Net Energy - December 27, 2020

Occasional Series