A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. | 220 comments (213 topical, 7 editorial, 0 hidden)

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

Actually, even better than convicted, we could use the severity of the conviction (number of years sentenced to prison). But that's also something that would take time to compile. Really, all the other indicators can be politically charged - including for example, convicted and then released 1 year later.

The cases outstanding only favour the Croats and this by a very small margin. So I'd still go with the convicted indicator.

by vladimir on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 01:41:27 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

Remember that the more variables you throw into your model the least significant are the results.

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 01:47:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

vladimir:

The cases outstanding only favour the Croats and this by a very small margin. So I'd still go with the convicted indicator.

Are you cherry-picking your indicators?

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 01:48:52 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

Why are you insinuating that? I'm just reacting to Jake's comment about me being mean spirited (which I really didn't appreciate) and explaining why I think the convicted indicator is best.

by vladimir on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 01:51:23 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

My being mean spirited because I chose the 'convicted' indicator and not the 'acquitted indicator' which in his opinion was much better.

by vladimir on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 01:52:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

You misunderstand the use of "mean-spirited". Focus on this instead

Compare indictments, or break down the indictments into convictions, acquittals and outstanding cases, if you like to. But using only convictions is nonsense as long as there are cases outstanding.

Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith

by Carrie (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 01:55:43 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. (none / 0)

First, it's the comparison that I call mean spirited, not you - apologies if that wasn't clear.

Second, I'm not arguing that you should use acquittals - I'm arguing that you should use [convictions*(1 + ongoing/acquittals)], which, unlike convictions, would make sense... kind of.

- Jake

Friends come and go. Enemies accumulate.

by JakeS (JangoSierra 'at' gmail 'dot' com) on Mon Mar 16th, 2009 at 02:00:40 PM EST
[ Parent ]

A Statistical Analysis of the ICTY's bias. | 220 comments (213 topical, 7 editorial, 0 hidden)

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