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FT Alphaville » Blog Archive » Banking credit catch-22 in action?
taxloss Apr 22 14:43 Is this the counter-cyclicality we were promised? ! Report The Itch Apr 22 14:26 So, you can buy an egg for 7 cents and sell it at 5 for a profit. ! Report Tears for Tier 1 Apr 22 14:17 I keep dreaming that I'm holding a fish, and I can't afford to pay for it.
Own Credit CVANow what about Citi? It has the same pricing model as GS, which calculates a FV of $1m. So surely C recognises a financial liability of $1m? No. Again, accounting standards differ slightly in wording, but in principal the fair value of a liability is the price at which an entity could extinguish any future obligations, in an arm's length transaction. I.e. "What price would a counterparty be willing to cancel/settle the trade at now. Well, we have seen above that GS, and probably the rest of the market, would accept $700k to cancel the deal. So, Citi gets to write the liability down to $700k. In accounting terms:DR Financial Liabilities $300kCR Principal Transactions $300kYes, you have read it correctly - Citi has made a profit of $300k as a result of becoming less creditworthy!!! In accounting/industry spreak, Citi has made an Own Credit CVA of $300k.
Some banks have actually been buying up their own bonds (for amounts less than their full face value), so it's not completely cut off from reality.
And think of when companies make losses - they suddenly get to pay less taxes, which ends up increasing their net profit is they can deduct these losses from significant earlier (or book provisions for later) gains... In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
These accounting rules attempt to make balance sheets neutral to credit risk. But if the market overprices credit risk the CVA correction overshoots and you get a net profit from deteriorating credit. Most economists teach a theoretical framework that has been shown to be fundamentally useless. -- James K. Galbraith
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