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EurActiv.com - German Turks to vote SPD in EU poll despite local row | EU - European Information on EU Elections 09
A few days ahead of the EU elections, Germany's Social Democrats (SPD) and Greens seem to be well positioned to attract the vote of the country's large ethnic Turkish electorate. But the recent resignation of two popular ethnic Turkish politicians may have an impact on how they vote in the German general elections in September, EurActiv Turkey reports.

On 4 May, SPD Berlin Deputy Secretary Canan Bayram  resigned from her post and left the party only to join the Greens a few days later, causing a public stir in the Turkish community.

Explaining her move, Bayram said the SPD was not pushing hard enough for policies which would ensure equal opportunities. "There are not enough women in top management and I was not taken seriously. Besides, the party does not pay enough attention to gender equality legislation," she said.

Before the storm had settled, another Berlin-based politician of Turkish descent quit the Greens to join the SPD. Bilkay Öney resigned from her party on 14 May and switched to SDP the next day.

by afew (afew(a in a circle)eurotrib_dot_com) on Sun May 31st, 2009 at 11:49:03 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Ummm, with a symmetrical exhange of ethnic Turks between the Berlin Greens and SPD, why exactly would voters abandon one party in one direction?...

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Jun 1st, 2009 at 05:32:37 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Assume there is a single probability (per voter, independent of the party) that voters will follow a defecting leader. Then when there is a symmetric exchange the party with the largest number of voters loses and the party with the smaller following gains.

The brainless should not be in banking. — Willem Buitler
by Migeru (migeru at eurotrib dot com) on Mon Jun 1st, 2009 at 05:35:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]
In this case, the voter group that is considered is ethnic Turks in Berlin -- and I am not sure the SPD exceeds the Greens that much there (if at all). Nanne?

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Mon Jun 1st, 2009 at 05:37:45 AM EST
[ Parent ]
The Greens have very good ties with the Turkish community in Berlin, that is for sure. Germany-wide, though, the Turks prefer the SPD (56% to 23% for the Greens).
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Mon Jun 1st, 2009 at 02:35:12 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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