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Scenario 1 (The UK leaves the EU, but the EU remains) should probably be split in at least 2 sub-scenarios:

  • the EU remains, and the UK is a quasi-member à la Switzerland/Norway/EEA (ie, most of the regulations and ease of access remain); or

  • the EU remains, and starts treating the UK like a foreign country, like the US is treated, for instance(ie no access to EU passport lines, to intra-EU trade rules, etc...).


In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Tue Jun 9th, 2009 at 11:44:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Jerome a Paris: the EU remains, and the UK is a quasi-member à la Switzerland/Norway/EEA (ie, most of the regulations and ease of access remain)

at a cost:

What if we Left the European Union? | BERR

If we wished to continue trading with the EU - for example as a member of European Free Trade Area (EFTA ) (like Switzerland) or the European Economic Area (EEA) (like Norway) - we would still have to comply with EU laws, while having no say in negotiating them.  We might even have to keep up contributions to the EU budget as the price of continued access to the Single Market, but get nothing in return.


Truth unfolds in time through a communal process.
by marco on Tue Jun 9th, 2009 at 11:54:38 AM EST
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Fact id swiss is joining the EU just because of this... And the rest will follow. Even the UKIP fanatic on TV the other day said he would keep the good sides of the EU, before driving off in his white BMW Z4 roadster... It was hilarious.

Patrice Ayme Patriceayme.com Patriceayme.wordpress.com http://tyranosopher.blogspot.com/
by Patrice Ayme on Tue Jun 9th, 2009 at 11:36:39 PM EST
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