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For Thuringia, this is a bigger beating that expected for the CDU, see the polls here.

So long, Dieter Althaus.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Aug 30th, 2009 at 12:35:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]
Its interesting that the 'swing' vs. the polls seems entirely from the CDU to the... Left Party. Even more interestingly you'll find the same pattern for Saarland -- could there be a systematic error in the corrections done by pollsters?

In Saxony, the significant difference is the SPD getting less.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Aug 30th, 2009 at 01:51:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]
There might be exit polls that show the real 'swing' at some point, are you referring to that? I don't know how many CDU voters would genuinely move to the Left Party, though of course some are possible. The Left party doesn't neglect its socially eehm... less liberal wing, least of all Lafontaine.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Aug 30th, 2009 at 02:09:20 PM EST
[ Parent ]
I put it in scare quotes -- it's only from comparing numbers in the last few pre-election poll and in present projections, and seeing all other parties unchanged. We'll see in exit polls where Left Party voters came from.

The Left party doesn't neglect its socially eehm... less liberal wing, least of all Lafontaine.

Hm-mmm. Note that most voters the CDU lost are likely to have been... SPD voters a decade ago.

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.

by DoDo on Sun Aug 30th, 2009 at 02:22:57 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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