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Seemed to be low according to the numbers posted for 14:00, at 36%, 5 percentage points below the level of 2005 (when final participation was at 77%).

Postal voting, which is expected to be more significant this time around, was not considered.

Poor turnout on election day should bode ill for the SPD, but DER SPIEGEL speculates that the number could still turn around as it's a pretty day across Germany. Which reminds me that I should go outside for a few hours.

The first projections are expected at 18:00, if there's no twitter leak before that point.

by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 10:28:43 AM EST
...quite a number of twitter leaks by now.

http://search.twitter.com/search?q=CDU+SPD+FDP

But not very reliable yet, as far as I can judge.

by Saturday (geckes(at)gmx.net) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 11:01:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]
Not really, no, wildly divergent numbers there. The noise drowns all.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 11:45:54 AM EST
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Apparently somebody was aware of a test site of the Bremen election authorities that used dummy numbers and started publicizing them as if they were real. link.

The fact is that what we're experiencing right now is a top-down disaster. -Paul Krugman
by dvx (dvx.clt št gmail dotcom) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 12:39:48 PM EST
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Could there be party asymmetries in postal voting? (I suspect not much...)

*Lunatic*, n.
One whose delusions are out of fashion.
by DoDo on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 12:33:46 PM EST
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Not in favour of the SPD. There could be an advantage for the FDP and Greens. But I don't know the share of the votes, and I don't know at what time the postal votes get counted.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 12:39:19 PM EST
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Apparently the number for participation will be around 72.5%.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 02:04:14 PM EST
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How does that compare to previous elections?

In the long run, we're all dead. John Maynard Keynes
by Jerome a Paris (etg@eurotrib.com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 03:27:02 PM EST
[ Parent ]
This is a record low for Germany, the previous federal elections were 77%.
by nanne (zwaerdenmaecker@gmail.com) on Sun Sep 27th, 2009 at 03:31:33 PM EST
[ Parent ]

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